Vehicle production in UK fell to 900,000 units in 2022
The volume of PC+UV production made in UK suffered a real collapse after the Brexit vote (leaving the European Union) in 2016. The volume of production fell from 1.8 million units in 2016 to 1 4 million in 2019 then to 1 million in 2020 and finally 900,000 in 2022. Since 2016, British car production has therefore been halved.
 
All carmakers have been impacted: Nissan, whose production volume reached 500,000 units per year between 2012 and 2016, saw its production drop by 50% to reach 250,000 units in 2022. However, Nissan remains the leading carmaker in UK, of which it represents a quarter of the total volume.
 
For the Indian group Tata Motors (Jaguar and Land Rover brands), the drop was the most brutal. From 500,000 vehicles per year in 2015 and 2016, this carmaker fell to 400,000 units in 2019, 250,000 units in 2020 and 200,000 in 2021. This fall was accelerated by the collapse of Jaguar sales and by the relocation of some Land Rover models to Slovakia.
 
Toyota saw its production volume halved due to the end of the Avensis in 2018. Honda ceased operations in 2021 when its average production volume in recent years reached 150,000 vehicles per year.
 
Opel also saw its production drop by half due to the sales decline the Astra and then the end of its production which was relocated to Germany. Finally, only Mini (BMW group) saw its production volume remain stable at around 200,000 vehicles per year, due to constant success and the carmaker's refusal to relocate its production.
Car production in Italy fell to 700,000 units in 2022
The volume of PC+UV production made in Italy fell to 700,000 units in 2022, compared to 800,000 in 2020 and 2021, and 1 million in 2018. But the production volume in Italy still exceeded 1.3 million in 2007.
 
This once prosperous producing country, when Fiat was the second European carmaker behind Volkswagen and when Fiat had not yet decided to relocate a large part of its production, particularly in Poland and Serbia, suffered the brunt of the various decisions that have sacrificed many of its plants, such as Mirafiori which was one of the largest European plants in the 1960s or Termini which was closed in 2011. The decisions to let the Fiat Punto (B-segment sedan) end without being replaced, to relocate Fiat C-segment sedans to Turkey, to let the Lancia brand declining or to fail to restart the Alfa-Roméo brand have a great impact on the entire Italian automotive industry.
 
While Italian production had fallen to its lowest point in 2013 and 2014 (650,000 cars produced per year), the Fiat group decided to relocate production of the Fiat Panda to Italy and by establishing production of the Jeep Renegade there. These decisions allowed Italian production to rise to 1,000,000 units in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019. The fall in the Italian market in 2020, 2021 and 2022 caused Italian production to drop again (-500,000 cars per year ) over the past three years.
 
The Stellantis group, which today represents 84% of Italian production, will have to ensure that it establishes a significant production of electric cars in Italy so that this country remains a significant automobile producer.
The top 20 global carmakers in 2022 according to the Chinese ranking
While in the ranking of the world's top 20 car carmakers from a Western point of view – meaning integrating Western vehicles produced under license by Chinese carmakers into the production of Western carmakers – the first Chinese carmaker appears in the twelfth place (this is Geely, which does not produce foreign vehicles under licence), ahead of BYD (13th) and Changan (14th).
 
In the ranking from the Chinese point of view – meaning integrating Western vehicles produced under license by Chinese carmakers in the production of Chinese carmakers – ranking that Inovev achieves each year – the first Chinese carmaker is in sixth position. , this is SAIC, which produces many models of the Volkswagen and GM groups under license, in addition to its own models marketed under the MG, Roewe and Maxus brands.
 
SAIC produced 4.9 million vehicles in 2022 (including 3.8 million in J.V.) very close to VW group, from which the vehicles produced by SAIC have been removed here. The second Chinese carmaker is FAW (9th overall) with 3.2 million vehicles produced in 2022, including 2.6 million in J.V. The Dongfeng (DFM) and GAC groups follow in 11th and 12th place. The independent Chinese Geely, Changan and BYD are placed in 14th, 15th and 16th position.
 
The general classification is relatively different, even if Toyota remains leader in the two classifications. The most disadvantaged Western carmakers in the Chinese ranking are obviously those that produce a lot in China, like VW or GM, and the most favoured are those that produce little in China, like Hyundai-Kia or Stellantis.
The evolution of the average weight of vehicles produced in Europe
The average weight of passenger cars produced in Europe did not change between 2011 and 2019, whereas it had increased sharply between 1990 and 2010, from 1,020 kg to 1,380 kg. Inovev wondered why this average weight of vehicles produced in Europe had not changed between 2011 and 2019 and had suddenly stabilized. Indeed, with the arrival of SUVs in the 2000s, which now represent 40% of European production, one would have expected an increase in the average weight of vehicles, knowing that SUVs are heavier than sedans of the same segment.
 
In fact, several factors played at the same time and contributed to the stabilization of the average weight. Sales of sedans and minivans have fallen sharply over the past twenty years, representing only 45% of European production in 2022 and the average weight of a sedan is now 1,314 kilos compared to 1,296 kilos in 2011. At the same time, SUV sales have increased considerably over the past twenty years, representing 40% of European production in 2022. The average weight of an SUV today is 1,720 kilos compared to 1,685 kilos in 2011.
 
The most decisive factor was the shift of buyers from upper-segment sedans to lower-segment SUVs. For example, from D-segment sedans to C-segment SUVs, which have stabilized the average weight at the level of demand. This seems logical as the price of a C-segment SUV is in the same range as the price of a D-segment sedan.
 
Finally and on a second level, sales of electric cars have increased over the last ten years and begin to have an impact, even if their production volume remains relatively low. The average weight of a BEV today is 1,730 kilos, whereas there were no electric cars until 2010. The average weight of a PHEV has decreased a lot due to the slippage of this type of motorization towards segments B and C, whereas at the beginning it was about vehicles of higher segments (D and E segments). Finally, the average weight of a thermal vehicle has remained stable since 2011.
The new European models planned for 2023
After several months of absence of European novelties (new cars produced in Europe), carmakers should resume a normal rhythm of new model launches from spring 2023.
 
Inovev counts around twenty new models that should be launched this year:
§ BMW: new 5 Series, new Mini, new Countryman.
§ Mercedes: new E-Class.
§ Ford: new battery electric SUV based on MEB platform from VW.
§ Hyundai: new battery electric Kona.
§ Citroën: new C3 and new C4 Aircross.
§ Peugeot: new 3008.
§ Mitsubishi: new Colt based on the Renault Clio.
§ Renault: new battery electric Scénic, new Espace derived from Austral.
§ Toyota: new CHR.
§ Audi: new A4.
§ Cupra: new Tavascan, new Terramar.
§ Porsche: new battery electric Macan.
§ Volkswagen: new Tiguan, new battery electric ID7, new Passat station wagon.
 
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