Evolution of the European market by type of engine in 2020
- The share of diesel continues to decline sharply on the European market, as today this share has fallen to 27% of all passenger car registrations in 2020, while it was still 32% in 2019, 36 % in 2018, 45% in 2017, 50% in 2016 and 55% in 2012.
- Diesel has therefore lost 28 points in eight years, which have not been offset by the increase in alternative engines (hybrids, plug-in hybrids, 100% electric) since these now represent only 21% of registrations, despite strong growth recorded over the past two or three years.
- Among this 21%, hybrid powertrains (HEV) represent 12% of sales in 2020, mainly made by Toyota, Lexus, Hyundai and Kia. Plug-in hybrid powertrains (PHEV) represent 4% of sales in 2020, mainly made by Premium brands. Finally, the 100% electric engine (BEV) represents 5% of sales in 2020, produced mainly by Renault and Tesla, but many competitors are starting to ramp up (Volkswagen, Hyundai, Peugeot, Opel, etc.).
- The crucial question is how far the decline in diesel will go. Some foresee the end of diesel in 2030 in passenger car registrations but is this a possible scenario? And will diesel remain in the utility vehicle categories? The future of Diesel remains very uncertain in Europe, not necessarily because of city policies because very few large European cities have announced the ban on diesel in their cities, but rather future anti-pollution standards (EURO VII) which could impose carmakers to no longer produce pure thermal vehicles.
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