Electric car groups’ sales ranking in 2017
In the first 9 months of 2017, sales of electric cars (100% electric = BEV,  plus rechargeable hybrids = PHEV) amounted to 800,000 units worldwide, including 326,000 in China, 214,000 in Europe, 140,000 in United States and 26,000 in Japan. Electric car sales are expected to exceed the one million mark for the first time in 2017.

Volumes are expected to grow rapidly over the next five years, partly because of the Chinese government's quotas for local producers, – which other governments should take as example – in order to boost sales of electric cars, and to fight against pollution and global warming.

Admittedly, the announcements made by manufacturers suggest a sales volume of several million electric cars over the next two or three years, which can leave some doubts ... The Chinese government, on its side, expects more than two million sales in 2019, only in China ...

We will remember in the future world, that in 2017, the leaders in electric cars were Renault-Nissan (90,000 sales over 9 months 2017), ahead of Tesla (73,000 sales), BYD (69,000 sales), BMW (68,000 sales), BAIC (54,000 sales), Zotye (52,000 sales), Volkswagen (47,000 sales), Toyota (39,000 sales), GM (38,000 sales), Daimler (24,000 sales). Of these ten leaders, only BYD ‘s sales fell year-on-year.


17-28-6   
 

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Subaru Product Plan for the North American Market
Subaru announced that it will introduce 6 new models (excluding existing model restyling) to the North American market between 2018 and 2021, including three SUVs, two sedans and a coupe.

SUVs, which have become a specialty,  account for most of Subaru's sales, and the United States accounts for most of the brand's global sales: more than 600,000 units in 2017 out of a total of 1,100,000 units.

In 2018, Subaru will launch a new E-segment SUV on the American market, in an attempt to turn the page on the failure of the Tribeca (2005-2014), which did not convince American clientele.

Then the rest of the Subaru range will be renewed between 2018 and 2021 (including the Forester, Legacy,  and Outback) except for the Impreza (C segment sedan) which was renewed in 2017.

Unlike other Japanese manufacturers, Subaru has a very large gap between the volume of vehicles sold in the NAFTA region and the volume of vehicles produced in the NAFTA region. In fact, Subaru has only one plant in this region, located in Lafayette (Indiana-USA). More than 300,000 vehicles are imported from Japan each year. With the Lafayette plant virtually saturated, the OEM is expected to build a new plant to meet President Donald Trump's demand to produce more in the United States. This decision has not yet been made.


17-28-3   
 

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PSA to assemble LCV at its Kaluga plant in Russia
Inovev published an analysis of the future of the PSA-Mitsubishi Kaluga site on October 30, 2017, stating that this site, owned 50% by PSA and 50% by Mitsubishi, has never produced more than 45,672 cars per year – that  was in 2011  and that its production volume has steadily decreased since then (17,415 units in 2016 and probably less than 15,000 in 2017), while installed capacity is 125,000 cars per year.

Inovev pointed out that the site had  two problems: one relating to produced volume compared to installed capacity, and  the other to the recent takeover of Mitsubishi by Renault-Nissan which should stop all links between PSA and Mitsubishi.

Inovev concluded that there was therefore a possibility for the site to be taken over by Renault-Nissan (owner of Mitsubishi) to produce Mitsubishi SUVs, or for the site to be closed.

The PSA group seems to have found another solution: it has announced that it will assemble Citroën Jumpy and Peugeot Expert LCV at Kaluga, to revive the site, and serve local demand, as of next year.

Sales of these models in Russia (so far exported from France) have never exceeded a thousand units per year (600 units in 2016) and this volume would  be clearly insufficient to revive the Kaluga site. This decision seems like a last improvised attempt to save the site, with little hope of success.


17-28-1   
 

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Mazda Product Plan for the North American Market
Besides the restyling of existing models, Mazda announced that it would launch 6 new models on the North American market between 2018 and 2021, including three SUVs and three sedans.

The next CX8 SUV has already been unveiled at the last Tokyo Motor Show (this is an extended version of the CX5). It will be marketed in 2018, as will  the future Mazda 3 whose lines were unveiled at the same show.

The announced Product Plan averages 390,000 units per year, while Mazda sales in the NAFTA region barely exceed 400,000 units (reported in 2017).

Currently, Mazda only produces an average of 150,000 units a year in the NAFTA region, in a single plant in Mexico, which opened in 2014. Mazda was formerly producing in the United States, but the end of the partnership between Ford and Mazda led Mazda to stop production in the country in 2013.

The gap between Mazda sales and production volumes in the NAFTA region is therefore quite large (around 250,000 units per year on average). As a result, most of Mazda's sales in this region are through imports from Japan. To meet President Donald Trump's desire to produce more in the United States, Mazda would have to build a new factory in the US, which is not in its current plans.


17-28-4   
 

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Honda Product Plan for the North American Market
Including neither the restyling of existing models, nor the launch of the new generation of Accord made in 2017, the Honda group (Honda, Acura) announced that it would launch 10 new models on the North American market between 2018 and 2021, including four SUVs, five sedans and a minivan.

Four models will be launched under the Honda brand and six under the Acura brand. The group seems to be putting all its effort on its Premium brand, which today accounts for only 10% of its total sales in the NAFTA region, while it accounted for 11% of sales in 2010 and up to 13% in 2005. Honda's goal is to  reach sales of 15% of Acura in the NAFTA region.

Like Toyota, Honda persists in minivans (since a new Odyssey minivan will be launched in 2019), unlike the FCA group’s Dodge brand that abandons this segment.

The Product Plan covers 1.2 million vehicles produced per year in the NAFTA zone out of a total of 1.9 million Honda and Acura vehicles produced and sold in this area in 2017. The Japanese manufacturer (7th largest manufacturer in the world) sells as many vehicles as it produces in the NAFTA zone, which means that it imports and exports very little. It will be difficult for Honda to produce more in the United States, as President Donald Trump would like, unless it were to transfer part of its production from Mexico or Canada to the US, which is not planned.


17-28-2   
 

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