China's production capacity has reached 37 million vehicles per year in 2014

Whereas Europe (including Russia, Ukraine and Turkey) currently has a production capacity of 27.4 million units (PC + LUV), China currently has a production capacity of 37.4 million, i.e 10 million more.

In 2014 Europe will register a utilisation rate of its plants of about 70%, while the average rate should really exceed 80% to be efficient.

China has an even lower rate, since it did not exceeded 60% in 2013 and will not exceed 65% in 2014, given a production volume that should increase by about 2 million units this year.

The main difference between these two regions is in fact the expected increase  in annual car production. While Europe is meant to have an average annual increase of about 3% until 2018 (500 000 additional units per year), China should have an average annual increase three times higher, of about 9% per year until 2018 (ie 2 million units per year).

With such a development and stagnating production capacities, China would have a utilisation rate of its factories of around 70% in 2015, 75% in 2016, 80% in 2017 and 85% in 2018. But this scenario is not the most likely since China is constantly building new production capacities (2 million more before 2017).

 

 

14-20-4  


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