Polish production Forecast for 2015 (PC + LUV)
- Polish car production rose steadily until 2009-2011, passing for the first time the production threshold of 1 million vehicles a year. Since then, production volume has been reduced by half. And this for several reasons: first, the decline of the European market as a whole, which was even more important in Eastern Europe (-35% decrease over this period), a main area for Polish production. Then, the production transfer of some models to other foreign plants such as the Fiat Panda (200 000 to 300 000 units before 2012) that was transferred to Italy in 2012 or the Opel Zafira (100 000 units in 2011) that was transferred to Germany in 2011 was not offset by the arrival of the Lancia Ypsilon (70 000 annual units ) and the Opel Cascada (10 000 annual units ).
- The overall loss would represent between 220 000 and 320 000 vehicles per year, plus the end of activity of the Autozaz plant in Zeran (Warsaw) which equalled 100 000 vehicles produced each year. The project to manufacture the Chevrolet on this site was abandoned since GM decided to discontinue the Chevrolet brand in Europe. In addition, Poland has lost many relocations in recent years to the benefit of Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Hungary. For the year 2014, the Polish production should be relatively stable (up 3% compared to 2013). In 2015, no new models are planned to arrive in the Fiat plant (Tichy), Opel (Gliwice) and VW (Poznan). However, the expected sales increase of locally produced models in Poland could allow a growth of around 12%, reaching a volume of 600 000 units.
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