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Published: 18 January 2021

• Production
• Registrations
• Italy

Italy: 2021 market and production forecasts

- The Italian light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 1,531,496 units in 2020, down 27.2% compared to 2019, which is a rather poor performance as most European countries recorded much better figures, the European average being around 23.5%.

- For passenger cars, with 1,380,000 units, the Italian market returned in 2020 to the 2014 level, the year following the financial crisis of 2008-2009. At this time, the volume of registrations had not exceeded 1,360,000 units.

- Again in the passenger car market in 2020, the FCA group remains largely the leader with 331,120 units (24% market share), far ahead of the Volkswagen groups (230,470 units; 16.7% ) and PSA (204,502 units; 14.8%). Following are the Renault-Nissan groups (171,685 units; 12.4%) and Ford (89,558 units; 6.5%) largely behind.

- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The Italian market for light vehicles could therefore represent 1,657,621 units, an increase of 8% compared to 2020.

- For the production forecast in 2021, Italy would increase from 730,000 units in 2020 to 800,000 in 2021, which represents an increase of 10% in one year. This increase in production will be due to the ramp-up of the electric Fiat 500 and the relaunch of the European markets in 2021, the historic place of sales for the FCA group. The arrival of the Alfa-RoméoTonale (C-segment SUV) could also boost the production in Italy at the end of the year.

    

 

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Published: 18 January 2021

• China
• Production
• Registrations
• USA
• Tesla

Tesla sold nearly 500,000 electric cars in 2020

- California electric car maker Tesla broke its 2020 sales record again, with 499,550 battery electric vehicles in 2020, up from 365,000 units in 2019, narrowly missing its sales target of 500,000 units.

- The production volume is, however, slightly over 500,000 units, due to the necessary stock. It represents 509,737 units, divided into 454,932 Model 3 / Model Y and 54,805 Model S / Model X, making it (by far) the leading carmaker of battery electric cars (BEV) in the world. Tesla is also one of the only non-Chinese carmakers to have increased its production volume in 2020, compared to 2019. This increase reaches 40% given the opening of new capacity in China in 2020. Sales are in 37% increase in a global auto market down around 14.2% due to the coronavirus crisis.

- Tesla's good health is due to the ramp-up of the Model 3 sedan which totalled 442,511 sales in 2020 worldwide, its production being effective in the United States (Fremont) and in China (Shanghai). The Model 3 has confirmed its leading position in the BEV category, far ahead of the Chinese models and the Renault Zoe. The Model Y started at the end of 2020, while the pick-up is expected for 2021 which should also be marked by the ramp-up of the Tesla plant in Shanghai and by the debut of the Tesla plant in Berlin. The growth of the Californian carmaker should therefore continue in 2021 and 2022, while competition begins to arrive, both from China, Europe and even the United States.

    

 

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Published: 18 January 2021

• Production
• Registrations

Europe: 2021 market and production forecasts

- The European light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 13.85 million units in 2020 (provisional data awaiting final data at the end of January), down around 23.5% compared to 2019. This is a fairly weak performance as most of the big global markets recorded much better figures last year  such as China (-1.9%), Japan (-11.5%) or even USA (-14.5%). The worldwide market being around -14.2%.

- The European market for light vehicles returns in 2020 to the level of 1994. At the time, the volume of European registrations had not exceeded 14 million units.

- In 2020, for the passenger car market, the Volkswagen group remains largely the European market leader with a 24.8% market share, far ahead of the PSA (15.1%) and Renault-Nissan (13.2%) groups. Next are the groups BMW (7.5%), Hyundai-Kia (6.8%), Daimler (6.7%), Ford (5.9%) and FCA (5.9%).

- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The European light vehicles market could therefore represent 15 million units, up 9% compared to 2020.

- For the production forecast in 2021, Europe would increase from 14.02 million in 2020 to 15.88 million in 2021, which represents an increase of 13.2% in one year. This increase is primarily due to the recovery of European markets and also exports, particularly to the USA and China.

    

 

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Published: 18 January 2021

• France
• Production
• Renault-Nissan-Avtovaz
• Stellantis

Renault ceased the production of the Fiat Talento

- Anticipating the merger between PSA and FCA which should take place in early 2021, Renault has decided to stop the production of the Fiat Talento van, which has been based since 2016 on the Renault Trafic and the Nissan NV300. This production shutdown of the Talento at the Sandouville plant took effect in December 2020.

- The Talento (segment N1-2) was in the Fiat LUV (Light Utility Vehicle) range between the Doblo (segment N1-1) and the Ducato (segment N1-3). In 2016, it replaced the Scudo model which was derived from the Citroën Jumpy and Peugeot Expert of the previous generation.

- The production peak of the Talentoat the Renault plant in Sandouville was reached in 2019, with a volume of 40,000 units, but with the Covid-19 crisis, its production fell to 25,000 units in 2020. In total, 125,000 Talento were produced between 2016 and 2020.

- The Talento should therefore be replaced in 2021 by an LUV derived from the current generation of Citroën Jumpy and Peugeot Expert marketed since 2016. This is a decision recently taken by the management of FCA with the aim of rationalizing the range of LUVs inside the future Stellantis group.

- The current Fiat Talento will therefore have been produced only during four years, whereas this type of model generally has a life cycle of more than ten years, which represents a life cycle 1.5 times that of passenger cars. The next Fiat LUV in this segment should be produced in Valenciennes, like the Jumpy and Expert. It remains unclear whether the future Fiat LUV in the N1-2 segment will be called Talento or whether it will take on the Scudo name. Nothing has been announced to date.

    

 

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