Production forecast Italy 2023-2030
Inovev's latest forecast for passenger cars (PC) + light utility vehicules (LUV) in Italy foresees a catch-up process starting in 2023, after the three mediocre years of 2020, 2021 and 2022 due to the Corona crisis (2020), the semiconductor crisis (2021) and the consequences of the war in Ukraine (2022).

The catch-up process from 2023 will be reinforced by the expansion of production at Mirafiori for the Fiat 500 e with electric drive, which will gradually replace the Fiat 500 with internal combustion engine produced in Poland. The Melfi site will accommodate new products (100% electric) from 2024. The Cassino site will ramp up production with the expansion of sales of the Alfa Tonale and its derivative, Dodge Hornet.

The Val di Sangro site has just started production of the Opel Movano (previously manufactured in France by Renault) and will start production of a Toyota derivative of the Opel Movano in 2024.

However, the Val di Sangro plant will not increase its production volume, as Stellantis' management has decided to manufacture part of its production at the Gliwice plant in Poland, which will be reduced by the production of the Opel Astra from 2022.

Overall, production volume in Italy is expected to reach 825,000 units in 2026 and 2027, a far cry from the million units reached in 2017. In 2030, this production volume is not expected to exceed 750,000 units, roughly the same level as in 2020 or 2010. The yoyo rhythm is typical of Italy's automotive production.


 
    
 

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