Production of the Tesla Model 3 has begun at Fremont
Electric car maker Tesla has begun production of its third model (logically named Model 3) at its Fremont, California site.

This D-segment sedan is priced twice as low as the F-segment sedan (Model S), or about $ 35,000 compared to $ 70,000. According to the manufacturer, this competitive price is expected to significantly expand Tesla's customer base, with sales targets of 500,000 units in 2018, 750,000 in 2019 and 1,000,000 in 2020. Tesla has already received more than 400,000 orders for its Model 3.

- For the Model 3 ramp-up, Tesla is planning 30 units in July, 100 units in August, 1500 units in September, 5,000 units in October, 10,000 units in November and 20,000 units in December, or 36,630 units produced in 2017. By 2018, Tesla expects to be able to maintain a production pace of 30,000 units per month, or 350,000 units for the year as a whole. All current orders should therefore be able to be filled by the end of 2018. Afterwards Tesla will build all new orders .

One must remember that the Fremont plant has a production capacity of 500,000 cars a year. Beyond 500,000 sales per year, Tesla will have to either expand its Fremont site or build a second production site.


17-18-9   

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The Frankfurt Motor Show is featuring SUVs
The Frankfurt 2017 show is still focusing its  attention on SUVs, as Inovev has counted 70% of SUV among the main car innovations exhibited for the first time at this show. The popularity  of SUVs is therefore not ready to fade, especially as these models will mostly be marketed before the end of 2017.

Among these SUVs are the BMW X3, BMW X7 (concept), Citroen C3 Aircross, Dacia Duster, Ford Ecosport, Honda CRV, Hyundai Kona, Jaguar E-Pace, Kia Stonic, Opel Grandland, Porsche Cayenne, Seat Arona , Skoda Karoq, Volvo XC40, Volkswagen T-Roc.

Of these fifteen SUVs, 5 are  B segment, 7 are   C segment, 1 is D segment, 1 is E segment and 1 is  F segment.

Manufacturers have therefore favored the least expensive categories (B and C segments) for their new SUVs presented at the Frankfurt Motor Show, which are  also the two segments with the most demand.

In the first 8 months of 2017, SUV sales made up  28.5% of the European PC market.

Over the same period, segment A SUVs accounted for 1.5% of total SUV sales, B segment sales accounted for 26%, C segment for 47%, D segment for 19%, SU segment represent 5% and those of the FB segment represent 1.5%. SUVs of B and C segments are therefore the most sold.

17-19-1   

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Sales of electric and plug in hybrid vehicles in the first 6 months of 2017
Global sales of rechargeable electric and hybrid cars amounted to 450,000 units in the first half of 2017, compared with 307,000 units in the first half of 2016, an increase of 46.5 percent.

- Sales by region were as follows: 179,000 sales in China (+ 44.7%), 133,000 in Europe (+ 34.8%), 88,500 in the United States (+ 37.6%) and 17,500 in the Japan (+ 18.1%). The rest of the world shares the remaining 32,000 units (up 600%).

- Sales by group are as follows: Renault-Nissan is the leader with 62,000 sales, ahead of Tesla (47,000 sales), BMW (42,500 sales), BYD (35,000 sales), BAIC (30,000 sales), Volkswagen (28,000 sales), Toyota (27,000 sales) and GM (23,000 sales). These eight groups account for 65% of sales of electric and hybrid rechargeable cars.

- Sales by brand are as follows :Tesla is the leader with 47,000 sales, ahead of BMW (42,000 sales), BYD (35,000 sales), BAIC (30,000 sales), Nissan (29,000 sales), Toyota (27,000 sales) ), Chevrolet (23,000 sales) and Renault (20,000 sales).

Sales by model are as follows: Toyota Prius PHEV (27,000 sales), Nissan Leaf (26,500 sales), Tesla Model S (25,500 sales), Tesla Model X (21,500 sales), Zhidou D2 EV(18,500 sales ), BAIC (18,000 sales), Renault Zoé (17,500 sales), BMW i3 (14,500 sales), Chevrolet Volt (13,500 sales) and Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (12,500 sales).


17-18-8   

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European exports to Russia fell to 100 000 in 2016
- European exports to Russia have collapsed since 2012. Two reasons for this:

1/ The Russian market as a whole has collapsed since 2012 from 2.94 million that year to 1.43 million in 2016, a fall of more than 50% in four years. The economic sanctions against Russia have been largely responsible for the collapse of the Russian market, but it is also worth mentioning the fall in the price of oil, which has further depleted the Russian economy, already severely affected by the sanctions.

2/ The Russian government has encouraged Russian customers to buy cars manufactured in Russia and to boycott cars manufactured abroad and imported into Russia. This message was heard as the fall in imports reached 70% in four years, from 1.0 million in 2012 to 0.3 million in 2016. And the fall in European imports was even more important as it surpassed 80% in four years, from 560 000 in 2012 to 100 000 in 2016.

- With the re-start of the Russian market observed in 2017, Inovev expects a slow and gradual recovery of imports from Europe, but which will remain imperceptible this year. It won’t  be until 2018 and 2019 that this recovery in imports  becomes really significant. The main winner is Russian production, which supplies 85% of the Russian market in 2017, compared with 79% in 2016, 75% in 2015, and 70% in 2014.


17-18-7   

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Number of Chinese OEMs should move gradually from 46 to 23
By 2016, China had 46 domestic manufacturers producing VP, VUL, trucks and buses. According to the president of Changan (the first independent Chinese manufacturer, with 1.38 million vehicles produced in 2016), only half of Chinese manufacturers will survive by 2022, due to increased competition in China and abroad, and to shifting consumer demand (connectivity, electronics, electric power, autonomous driving, etc.).

These challenges will, according to Changan's president, represent increasing financial and technological difficulties, which many Chinese manufacturers will not be able to overcome, even with the help of the Chinese government, and even with the prospect of a continually growing Chinese market.

According to him, only 23 Chinese manufacturers will remain in 2022. It is clear that major manufacturers such as Changan, Beijing (BAIC), Dongfeng (DFM), Geely, Great Wall, FAW, Chery, Anhui (JAC) SAIC, GAC, BYD and Brilliance will continue to exist and increase their market share without necessarily merging  between themselves (this makes 12 manufacturers). The most threatened will be the smallest manufacturers, and those who already struggle to survive today in a tight competitive environment. Some of them will have to associate or merge, but it seems very unlikely today that any will come under the control of foreign manufacturers, as the Chinese government will not hesitate to block any such agreements.


17-18-5   

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