Engines market share evolution in Europe
The evolution, from 2017 until today, of the market share of the different engines in Europe shows a collapse diesel engines and in parallel a rise of gasoline.

The non-rechargeable hybrid (HEV) share rose from 3% in 2017 to 4% in 2018 and accelerated its growth to 6% in 2019, thanks to the Toyota Group's performance in this area, but also to the progress made by the group Hyundai-Kia and the comeback of Honda.

The share of 100% electric vehicles (BEV) also progresses, but less rapidly than that of the hybrid. It went from 1% in 2017 to nearly 1.5% in 2018 and 2% in 2019.

The plug-in hybrid (PHEV), on the other hand, has not progressed. It remains stable at 1% of the European market since 2017 until today.

The part of the fuel cell (FUEL CELL) remains tiny and will remain so for a long time.

A five-year forecasts shows that it is likely that diesel will continue to decline, but not in the way we faced these last three years.
The
share of gasoline should stabilize, as the share of the hybrid. Finally, the share of BEVs is expected to grow more strongly than during the last three years, due in particular to a product offer in expansion in Premium and mass volume markets (with German and French carmakers).


    
 

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The VW Group wants to increase its BEV production capacity to 1 million units in 2022
The Volkswagen Group wants to increase its production capacity of 100% battery electric vehicles (BEV) to 1 million units in 2022, distributed as follows: 600 000 units per year in China (including 300 000 in Foshan and 300 000 in Anting ) and 400 000 units in Europe (of which 200 000 in Zwickau, 100 000 in Emden and 100 000 in Hanover).

The Zwickau plant has just started producing the Volkswagen ID 3, which is a 100% C-segment sedan. Its derivatives under the Seat and Skoda brands are expected to start being produced in the spring or summer of 2020. This plant will manufacture the Volkswagen ID 4 SUV in the autumn of 2020, as well as its Seat and Skoda derivatives. Eventually, this plant should produce six different 100% electric models (three sedans and three SUVs).

The Hannover plant should be dedicated to the 100% electric light utility vehicle (LUV) launched in 2022 under the Volkswagen brand (it could be the replacement of the Kombi and the Transporter).

The Emden plant should be dedicated to other 100% electric models, such as ID 1 or ID 2. This plant is expected to start manufacturing 100% electric models from 2022, shortly after the transfer of the Volkswagen Passat which would be removed from Emden's production line to be transferred to the new plant that Volkswagen has decided to build in Turkey.

In total, Volkswagen plans to sell one million 100% electric vehicles in 2022, divided into 600,000 units in China and 400,000 units in Europe. This scenario, however, seems very optimistic.


    
 

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Global sales of pick-up continue to grow in 2019
In a shrinking global automotive market, notably due to the decline in the Chinese market, the pick-up market continues to grow (+ 2% in the first half of 2019), even though this market still represents only 6.6% of worldwide vehicle sales (compared to 6.0% in 2018).

Pick-up sales reached 2.57 million units between January and June 2019, with a high concentration in the United States (57% of global pickup sales). In this market, the category of large pick-ups (full size) is the most popular, with main actors as Ford Series F, Dodge Ram, Chevrolet Silverado, GMC Sierra and at a lower level the Toyota Tundra and Nissan Titan. This category accounts for nearly 80% of pick-up sales in the United States, nearly 15% of the US market. Pick-up sales in all segments account for a total of 18% of the US market.

By comparison, they represent 14% of the Latin America market (South and Central America), 20% in Southeast Asia, 21% in Australia and 24% in South Africa. But in these regions, the best selling models are in the category of mid-range pickups (Toyota Hilux, Nissan Navara, Mitsubishi L200, Isuzu D-Max, Ford Ranger, Chevrolet Colorado).

In Europe, pick-ups are not very popular, with a market share of only 1% of vehicle sales.

The United States and Thailand remain the two leading producers of pickup trucks.


    
 

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Ford Group wants to boost its sales in China
The Ford group has seen sales plummet in China since 2017. Its sales dropped from 950,000 units in 2016 to 840,000 in 2017, 385,000 in 2018 and just 200,000 in 2019. The fall in sales has thus reached 54% in 2018 and 48% in 2019. This decline reminds the PSA group, which experienced the same phenomenon at the same time. The cause of these difficulties is a lack of competitiveness in the Chinese market (choice of models, image of the manufacturer, price).

The decline of Ford's sales in the Chinese market has resulted in Ford's worldwide drop-out, seeing the US carmaker being overpassed by the Japanese Honda in 2019. It also resulted in the collapse of Chinese Changan'sproduction, which produces Ford models for China. Changan already experiencing the sales drop of its own models (-15% in 2019) and those of the Mazda models (-25% in 2019) also produced for the Chinese market. Therefore, Changanis also today in great difficulties.

To stop this very difficult situation, the Ford group wants to boost sales in China, with the introduction of new models, such as the Ford Escape (called Kuga in Europe) or the battery electric vehicle (BEV) Ford Mustang Mach E, but also with the large-scale introduction of the Lincoln brand, to be manufactured in China for the first time. The Lincoln Corsair will be produced in China next year. Ford wants to make Lincoln the competitor of Cadillac in China where it sells 200,000 cars a year.


    
 

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What is the current situation of Chinese partners of PSA-FCA?
With the future merger of PSA and FCA, it could be interesting to remind us the current status of their respective Chinese partners.

Dongfeng who was the Chinese partner of PSA for the Peugeot and Citroën brands. Weakened by the poor performance of the French group over the last three years, Dongfeng had to stop the production of two production plants factories in joint venture with Peugeot and Citroën, as the factories from the Dongfeng-PSA JVs are only at 22% of their current capacity. PSA's management has however announced that it intends to boost the sales of these two brands in China over the next decade and that it will not abandon the Chinese market. The merger of FCA and PSA could be a way for Dongfeng to use its production capacity in the future.

Consequently, GAC, which was FCA's Chinese partner, is unlikely to continue to be the partner of the new PSA-FCA group, regarding FCA brands. As for PSA, FCA suffered a collapse of its sales in China in 2019, and by contrast GAC, is growing with its own Trumpchi models, which put FCA as a marginal partner.

Changan, which was PSA's Chinese partner for the DS brand, was the first to stop the cooperation with the French group.
The
Changan-PSA plant is running at only 1% of its capacity due to extremely low DS sales. It will soon be out of business and future DS models sold in China are expected to be transferred to Dongfeng.


    
 

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