GM Group sold 6.0 million vehicles in 2021
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GM Group sold 6.0 million vehicles in 2021
- The GM group sold 6.0 million light vehicles (PC+LCV) in 2021, down 8.3% compared to 2020, after a drop of 12.4% in 2020 compared to 2019. The fall continues for the first American manufacturer, ex-first world manufacturer, which has even lost its leading position on the US market which it has held for more than 90 years. And fortunately the WulingHongguang Mini EV sold as much in 2021 in China (427,685 copies), because the fall would have been even more brutal.
Note: Wuling vehicles are fully counted as GM vehicles while GM's share in Wuling's capital is only 33%. As a result, the GM group falls to sixth place in the world, behind Stellantis and Hyundai-Kia, while it was still fourth in 2020.
Note: Wuling vehicles are fully counted as GM vehicles while GM's share in Wuling's capital is only 33%. As a result, the GM group falls to sixth place in the world, behind Stellantis and Hyundai-Kia, while it was still fourth in 2020.
- The breakdown of sales by brand in 2021 is as follows: 2,333,117 Chevrolet, 1,470,783 Wuling, 1,025,640 Buick, 567,863 GMC, 214,947 Baojun, 371,246 Cadillac. The last Holdens were sold last year. This brand was phased out in 2021, after the removal of the Oldsmobile, Pontiac, Saturn, Hummer brands and the sale of the Opel and Vauxhall subsidiaries. Thanks to its Chinese subsidiaries Baojun and Wuling, the GM group has for several years sold more vehicles in China than in the United States.
- In 2021, the global sales of the GM group break down as follows:
§ China remains its largest market, with 2.60 million vehicles, or 43% of its global sales.
§ The USA remains its second market, with 2.20 million vehicles, or 37% of its global sales.
These two markets represent 80% of the GM Group's global sales in 2021.
- It is to be noted that the manufacturer withdrew from the European market in 2017, then from the Russian, Indian and Australian markets.
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Automotive production forecast in Europe 29 countries (2022-2030)
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Automotive production forecast in Europe 29 countries (2022-2030)
The European automotive market (29 countries) was the subject of an article in Auto-Analyse 2022-05. The resulting automobile production (PC+LCV) will not return to its record levels of 18 million vehicles per year by 2030 according to Inovev. 3 scenarios are preferred:
1/ The high scenario with a constant increase in production from 2022 to 2030, when the volume produced should reach 17.5 million units, compared to 18.0 million in 2018, 17.7 million in 2019, 13, 4 million in 2020 and 13.0 million in 2021. This scenario takes into account a European market which returns to pre-Covid crisis levels, mainly thanks to the deployment of an offer of electric vehicles accessible to the greatest number and by maintaining an offer of efficient thermal vehicles.
2/ The reference scenario shows a constant but smaller increase in production until 2030, when Inovev expects 15.4 million units. This scenario takes into account a market in transition between an offer of vehicles not yet accessible to all and at the same time a phenomenon of waiting from a part of the customers who could keep their combustion engine vehicle longer, until a clarification the effective ban on internal combustion vehicles or pending an offer corresponding to their expectations.
3/ The low scenario (12.4 million units in 2030) takes into account a market that reacts negatively to the shift in the offer of manufacturers who could only offer electric vehicles (BEV and PHEV) which are expensive because at higher added value. In addition, strong constraints on the use of thermal vehicles could force some users to turn to other means of transport.
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続きを読む... Automotive production forecast in Europe 29 countries (2022-2030)
French Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
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French Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
- In Inovev's reference scenario (automotive market = sales at 14.5 million units in 2030 and production volume at 15.4 million units), each country will be impacted according to local economic conditions, aid provided by the State to buyers of electric cars, the interest aroused by the supply of electric cars and plug-in hybrids, and even the confidence of households in the future.
- Registrations in France should experience a small recovery in 2022, of the order of 5% to 10% depending on the level of supply of semiconductors, which in terms of volumes should represent at least 2.20 million PV+ VUL and 2.30 million at most, compared to 2.09 million in 2021, 2.05 million in 2020 and 2.69 million in 2019.
- The year 2022 should not see the appearance of large-volume novelties and at the same time it will have to continue the path of the electrification of automotive purchases, which should have an impact on the average price of cars and the relative caution in l acquisition of a new car for some of the customers.
- In terms of production, the volume in France should increase from 1.31 million units in 2021 to 1.53 million in 2022, 1.61 million in 2023 and 1.76 million in 2024 then should increase more modestly until 2030, reaching 1.98 million units by that date. From 2024, in fact, the scissor effect between the purchase of thermal cars and the purchase of electric cars will begin to be a factor directly impacting the automotive market and automotive production. The goal of producing 2 million electrified vehicles (BEV+PHEV+HEV) in 2030 seems out of reach. Inovev is counting on 1 million instead.
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German Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
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German Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
- In Inovev's reference scenario (automotive market = sales at 14.5 million units in 2030 and production volume at 15.4 million units), each country will be impacted according to local economic conditions, aid provided by the State to buyers of electric cars, the interest aroused by the supply of electric cars and plug-in hybrids, and even the confidence of households in the future.
- Registrations in Germany should experience a small recovery in 2022, of the order of 5% to 10% depending on the level of supply of semiconductors, which in terms of volumes should represent at least 3.03 million PV+ VUL and 3.18 million at most, compared to 2.89 million in 2021, 3.19 million in 2020 and 3.91 million in 2019.
- The year 2022 should not see the appearance of large-volume novelties and at the same time it will have to continue the path of the electrification of automotive purchases, which should have an impact on the average price of cars and the relative caution in l acquisition of a new car for some of the customers. The hypothesis of a Germany weakened by the cost of energy on the one hand and by a reduction in exports to the USA and China on the other cannot be ruled out.
- In terms of production, the volume in Germany should increase from 3.35 million units in 2021 to 3.73 million in 2022, 4.05 million in 2023 and 4.35 million in 2024 then should increase more modestly until 2030, to reach 4.5 million units by this date. From 2024, in fact, the scissor effect between the purchase of thermal cars and the purchase of electric cars will begin to be a factor directly impacting the automotive market and automotive production.
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British Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
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British Market and Production Forecast 2022-2030
- In Inovev's reference scenario (automotive market = sales at 14.5 million units in 2030 and production volume at 15.4 million units), each country will be impacted according to local economic conditions, aid provided by the State to buyers of electric cars, the interest aroused by the supply of electric cars and plug-in hybrids, and even the confidence of households in the future.
- Registrations in the United Kingdom should experience a small recovery in 2022, of the order of 5% to 10% depending on the level of supply of semiconductors, which in terms of volumes should represent at least 2.10 million PC+LCV and a maximum of 2.20 million, compared to 2.00 million in 2021, 1.99 million in 2020 and 2.68 million in 2019.
- The year 2022 should not see the appearance of large-volume novelties and at the same time it will have to continue the path of the electrification of automotive purchases, which should have an impact on the average price of cars and the relative caution in l acquisition of a new car for some of the customers.
- In terms of production, the volume in the United Kingdom should increase from 0.93 million units in 2021 to 0.95 million in 2022, 0.96 million in 2023 and 0.97 million in 2024 then should stagnate until 2030, reaching 0.96 million units by that date. The United Kingdom will then have fallen to the level of Italy as a producer, very far behind Germany, Spain and France.
- After Honda, the hypothesis of the departure of another manufacturer from the country cannot be excluded. Conversely, the hypothesis that this country could become a production platform for future Chinese electric models cannot be ruled out either.
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