England could become a home for Chinese vehicles
Several countries have announced that they will suspend the sale of cars with combustion engines between 2025 and 2040. These are the following countries, mainly European: 1 / By 2025: Norway. 2 / By 2030: Ireland, Iceland, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden, Slovenia and the United Kingdom (except hybrids). 3 / By 2032: Scotland. 4 / By 2035: United Kingdom (excluding Scotland) and California. 5 / By 2040: France, Spain and Canada. More countries will most likely be added to this list in the coming years. It remains to be seen whether these announcements will be scrupulously respected.

Let us take a look at the United Kingdom: this country, which had recently been detached from the European Union, saw its national automobile production sink in the 1980s, before calling on Japanese manufacturers to revive an automobile activity in the country. Brexit will see these manufacturers desert the country (Honda, Nissan, Toyota). There is therefore still the possibility for England to call on new manufacturers to relaunch an automobile activity in the country, if the automobile industry remains a strategic industry for the United Kingdom. And who else than Chinese manufacturers could meet this potential demand from UK?
Chinese carmakers will export their electric vehicles to Europe throughout the 2020s, and it will be relevant - once the volume of these exports is large enough - to transfer the production of these vehicles to Europe.
England could therefore eventually become a welcoming land for Chinese vehicles and thus offset the amount of customs duties with traditionally low prices for Chinese vehicles, even electric ones, which England could sell throughout Europe.



    
 

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Ineos has acquired the Smart factory in Hambach
After tough negotiations, the Daimler group agreed to sell its Smart factory in Hambach (France) to the British industrialist Sir James Arthur Ratcliffe, head of the Ineos group. Ineos’ project is to manufacture an SUV at the Hambach plant to replace the small Smart Fortwos produced there since 1998 (nearly 2 million units in total).

The Daimler group has in fact decided to transfer the production of Smart Fortwo from France to China, under the guidance of the Geely group (owner of Volvo and shareholder of Daimler). This transfer should take place in 2022 or at the latest in 2023.

The SUV that will be manufactured in Hambach will be derived from the Grenadier which was unveiled last September. This model is inspired by the old Land Rover Defender whose production ceased in Solihull (England) in 2016.

The Grenadier will therefore become the largest model produced in series in France, in particular because it will be equipped with large petrol and diesel six-cylinder engines (of BMW origin). This production may go against the wishes of the French government whose an announced objective is to place France at the forefront of the European automotive industry for low-emission vehicles.

In fact, it was really necessary to quickly find a buyer for the Hambach plant and Ineos positioned itself very quickly to take over this plant. It is possible that after the “Grenadier”, Ineos moves towards a more environmentally friendly production. For now, we can expect production in the range of 15,000 to 25,000 Grenadiers per year, if the model manages to find its audience. This quantity is practically identical to that of the Smart Fortwo produced in Hambach in 2020.



    
 

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Mercedes to offer eight different electric models in 2022
We know a little more about Mercedes' “electric vehicle” program. The Stuttgart manufacturer will finally offer eight different electric models by 2022, without counting the EQT which will be the Mercedes version of the Renault Kangoo Z.E.

• EQA: GLA-based C-segment SUV. Produced in Rastatt (Germany) from 2021. Will also be produced in Beijing (China).

• EQB: GLB-based C-segment SUV. Produced in Kecskemét (Hungary) from 2021 and not in Mexico like the GLB. Will also be produced in Beijing (China).

• EQC: D-segment SUV based on the GLC, therefore on the C-Class. Produced in Bremen (Germany) since 2019.

• EQE sedan: E-segment sedan based on the E-Class. Produced in Bremen (Germany) from 2021. Will also be produced in Beijing (China).

• EQE SUV: The EQE will also be offered in an SUV version from 2022. Produced in Tuscaloosa (USA).

• EQS sedan: F segment sedan based on the S-Class. Produced in Sindelfingen (Germany) from 2021.

• EQS SUV: The EQS will also be offered in an SUV version from 2022. Produced in Tuscaloosa (USA).

• EQV: E-segment MPV based on the V-Class. Produced in Vitoria (Spain) since 2020.

These eight electric models are mostly high-end vehicles and will therefore experience limited sales, of the magnitude order of 100,000 units in total in 2025 according to Inovev (excluding production in China).


    
 

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Evolution of the Israeli market (2010-2020)
The Israeli car market has grown from 200,000 units (PC + LUV) in 2012 to nearly 300,000 units in 2016. That year marked the peak of registrations in the country, because since 2016 the Israeli automobile market has not has stopped decreasing, from 280,000 units in 2017 to 250,000 in 2019 and 225,000 in 2020, a year marked by the coronavirus. In 2020, we returned to the 2011 level.

The Israeli market is 95% passenger cars and 5% light utility vehicles. Among these 5% light utility vehicles, one fifth is made of pick-up, i.e. 1% of the overall Israelian market. Among passenger cars, there is a majority of sedans, but their proportion in all registrations has continued to decrease, from 81% in 2010 to 75% in 2014 and 48% in 2020. On the contrary, the SUV market share  has grown significantly (as in most other countries), from 8% in 2010 to 16% in 2014 and 46% in 2020. On their sides, the MPVs have decreased from 6% of the market in 2010 to 4% in 2014 and only 1% in 2020.

By manufacturer, it is the Hyundai-Kia group which for ten years has consolidated its position as leader of the Israeli market, its market share having increased from 19% in 2010 to 24% in 2014 and 28% in 2020. Thereafter we can find the Volkswagen group (17% of the market), the Toyota group (14%) and the Renault-Nissan group (14%). These four manufacturers occupy 73% of the Israeli market. Chinese manufacturers for their part hold 1.5% of the Israeli market, but constantly increase their position.



    
 

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European exports fell by 13% in 2020
European exports are traditionally  towards the United States, China and Turkey. They held up better than expected in 2020, in particular thanks to the revival of the Chinese market in the second half of the year and the strong growth of the Turkish market. The Chinese market, which has a strong demand for European vehicles (it imported 530,000 units in 2019) grew by almost 10% in the second half of 2020 and the Turkish market has grown by 72% since the start of the year.

As a result, European exports to China fell less than expected, dropping from 530,000 in 2019 to 450,000 units in 2020 (a loss of only 80,000 units) and those to Turkey increased, by 250,000 in 2019 to 350,000 units in 2020 (i.e. a gain of 100,000 units). European exports to the United States still represent the largest volume, with 850,000 units in 2020 against 1,050,000 in 2019 (thus showing a drop of 200,000 units).

Finally, European exports to Russia also fell in 2020, since they represented only 65,000 units in 2020 against 125,000 in 2019. Suddenly, Switzerland is now well ahead of Russia (with 170,000 units in from Europe) as well as Norway (110,000 units), these two countries not being part of the European Union and therefore part of the foreign regions of European automobile exports, according to the Eurostat definition.

Overall, European exports fell down by 13% in 2020, which is a better performance than the 15% drop in global sales (and even 25% in Europe) or the 17% drop in global automobile production. 


    
 

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