Volvo 2020-2023 Product Plan
- 说明
Volvo 2020-2023 Product Plan
- The Volvo brand (a subsidiary of the Chinese Geely group) has unveiled its product plan for 2020-2023. The current range will be renewed, except for the V40, which will not be replaced. This model is not integrated into the new product plan because, although it has until now accounted for a large proportion of the brand's sales, these sales have been declining for several years now (78,000 units in 2018 compared with 92,000 in 2017 and 101,000 in 2016).
- Maybe Volvo wants to focus only on the high-end, that is, on a category of cars that are more expensive and more profitable. This is proven by the planned launch in 2023 of a new SUV which is even more expensive than the XC90, the XC120, and by the launch of the Polestar models, which are more expensive and exclusive versions of the Volvo.
- Volvo brand sales are increasing all over the world, in Europe, China and the United States (where Volvo has just started production in its new factory in Ridgeville), mainly with its 60 and 90 series models, in both sedan and SUV versions.
- The 2020-2023 Volvo product plan foresees a restyling of the S90/V90 and XC60 in 2020, a restyling of the XC40 in 2021 and a restyling of the S60/V60 in 2022. The XC90 will be renewed in 2022 and the S90/V90 in 2023. According to Inovev, the XC60 will be renewed in 2024 and the XC40 in 2025, but this scenario is outside the 2020-2023 product plan unveiled by the manufacturer. Finally, the XC120, which will be at the top of the range, will be launched in 2023.
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The Mercedes 2020-2023 product plan
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The Mercedes 2020-2023 product plan
- The Mercedes product plan for 2020-2023 reveals that the current range will be renewed, except for the SLC coupé-cabriolet, which will be discontinued. The coupé-cabriolet trend quickly faded all over the world, as most manufacturers abandoned this concept. The next generation of Mercedes SL scheduled for 2021 will also abandon this technique of the folding hard roof in the trunk.
- After the renewal of the Mercedes compact cars in 2018-2019 (Class A, Class B, CLA, GLB), the German manufacturer will focus on the higher categories, with the renewal of the S-Class (F segment) in 2020, the C-Class (D segment ) in 2021 and the E-Class (E segment) in 2023. However, the C-segment GLA SUV will also be renewed in 2020. It should have been renewed in 2019, but priority has been given to the GLB SUV. The launch of the GLA has therefore been postponed by one year.
- The EQ range of electric cars will continue to grow. After the launch in 2019 of the EQC (D segment SUV), EQB (C segment SUV) and EQV (E segment minivan), the EQA (C segment sedan) will be launched in 2020, the EQS (F segment sedan) in 2021 and the EQE (E segment sedan) in 2022.
- Class A and CLA will be restyled in 2022, before being renewed in 2025. In addition, the cut versions of the S-Class and C-Class will be renewed in 2021 and 2022 respectively. It is therefore easy to estimate the renewal date of the E-Class coupé at 2024. A year earlier, the AMG GT coupe (segment E) and the SUV GLC (segment D) will be renewed.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (1/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (1/4)
- After the failure of the merger agreement between the Renault and Fiat-Chrysler groups, the Italian-American manufacturer has moved closer to the PSA group to create a group capable of competing with the three giants of the automobile: Toyota, Volkswagen and Renault-Nissan. In 2018, the Fiat-Chrysler Group (FCA) sold 4.84 million vehicles (including 3.06 million from the Chrysler Group and 1.78 million from the Fiat Group) and the PSA group sold 3.88 million units, which totals 8.72 million vehicles, compared to 10.76 million for Renault-Nissan, 10.60 million for Volkswagen, 10.36 million for Toyota. The PSA-FCA group would thus be ahead of the GM groups (8.38 million) and Hyundai-Kia (7.40 million). In 2019, the PSA-FCA group should follow the Renault-Nissan group which fell to third place, following the difficulties of Nissan and ahead of Hyundai-Kia and GM.
- What are the benefits of such an increase in volume?
The doubling of the production volume would allow:
1 / a reduction in the number of platforms and engines, as a result of pooling platforms and engines (as was done recently for models of the Opel brand sold by GM to PSA) .
2 / economies of scale, notably by purchasing more common components.
3 / amortization of research costs for all future vehicles, especially electric and autonomous vehicles.
4 / a streamlining of production tools that could lead to inefficient plant closures.
The doubling of the production volume would allow:
1 / a reduction in the number of platforms and engines, as a result of pooling platforms and engines (as was done recently for models of the Opel brand sold by GM to PSA) .
2 / economies of scale, notably by purchasing more common components.
3 / amortization of research costs for all future vehicles, especially electric and autonomous vehicles.
4 / a streamlining of production tools that could lead to inefficient plant closures.
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The BMW/Mini 2020-2023 product plan
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The BMW/Mini 2020-2023 product plan
- After the renewal of the 1 Series and 3 Series in 2018-2019, in 2020 BMW will launch a new sedan, located between these two models in terms of price and dimensions, the 2 Series Gran Coupe (the term Gran Coupe at BMW actually applies to 4 or 5-door low- line sedans). The 4 Series sedan (4 Series Gran Coupe) will be renewed in 2021. Then the 7 Series sedan will be renewed in 2022 and the 5 Series sedan in 2023. The Series 4 coupés and convertibles will be renewed in 2020 and 2021 respectively. It does not appear that the 2 Series Coupe and Convertible Series will be replaced by 2023. As for the coupe, convertible and Gran Coupe Series 8, their launch is recent and they will not be restyled until 2024.
- Regarding SUVs, it should first be noted that the X3 and X5 in their plug-in hybrid version will be launched in 2020. The X2 and X3 will be restyled in 2021, the X4 and X5 in 2022, the X7 in 2023, the X1 and X3 will be renewed in 2022 and 2023 respectively.
- The 100% electric i4 and i-Next vehicles will be launched in 2022. The i-Next seems to succeed the Active Tourer and Gran Tourer MPVs. The i3 and i8 will probably have no successors as no replacement is expected by 2023.
- At Mini, after the launch of the 100% electric Mini E in 2019, the British brand will restyle its Countryman model in 2020, then renew its Mini One / Mini Cooper model in 2022 and the Clubman station wagon in 2023.
- Finally, the Z4 convertible, which shares its platform with the Toyota Supra coupe, will be restyled in 2023.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (2/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (2/4)
- This merger would also allow geographical complementarity, since FCA achieves 54% of its sales in North America and 26% in Europe, while PSA achieves 84% of its sales in Europe and 0% in North America. Thus, the PSA-FCA group has two more balanced sales regions: Europe (51% of sales) and the USA (28% of sales). By contrast, China would remain marginal, with 4% of global sales. Compared to the Volkswagen, Toyota or Renault-Nissan groups, the PSA-FCA group has a strong European and American base, but a very weak Chinese base, which is a handicap given the strong potential of the Chinese market.
- In Europe, the new group would trail the leading Volkswagen group with 22.5% of the market (16% for PSA and 6.5% for FCA) against 24% for the German manufacturer.
- The merger would also allow PSA to gain a foothold on US soil (FCA represents 13% of the US market, inherited from the presence of the Chrysler Group) that it had abandoned in the 90s and that it had planned to reinvest in a form or under another. This return to US soil will be done without any additional investment from PSA, via the Chrysler brands. An attack on the US market via European brands could be envisaged but seems difficult.
- The new group would be the first manufacturer in South America, thanks to the strong presence of Fiat.
- By cons it would be virtually absent from the Chinese market since PSA and FCA only realize anecdotal sales (1% of the market together). It would also be almost absent in the Indian market and in the ASEAN zone.
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