Paris Motorshow 2024: around thirty carmakers
In 2022, the Paris Motor Show was a show that no longer represented the global automotive industry at all, but only a very small part, with three Stellantis brands (DS, Peugeot, Jeep) and three Renault brands (Renault, Dacia, Alpine) as well as a few Chinese brands (LeapmotorSeres, BYD, ORA, WEY) and others (HopiumVinfastNamX). Plus a few brands of small cars (AixamMicrolino, Silence, Eon, E-GO, XEV Cars, City transformer).
 
The 2024 edition, which will take place from October 14 to 20, 2024, will welcome around thirty major carmakers (including sixteen European brands, nine Chinese brands, three American brands, one Japanese brand and one Korean brand), the list being on the following two pages.
 
The 2024 edition also welcomes around ten brands of L6-L7 segments (quadricycles with an empty weight of less than 500 kilos) including Aixam, Eon Motors, KilowLigierMicrolino, Mobilize and Softcar. It should be remembered that this market is estimated at 40,000 units per year in Europe, when the major segments (A-B-C-D-E-F segments) reaches between 11 and 15 million units depending on the year.
 
The years 2024 and 2025 will be marked by the revival of the electric market with entry-level models, at lower prices than those practiced so far by European carmakers, and by the development of Chinese models in Europe (350,000 sales made in 2023). It should be noted that the market level that Chinese carmakers will reach is currently difficult to quantify. Indeed, it will depend on the performance/price positioning of Chinese vehicles compared to European vehicles and the discussions conducted by Brussels with Chinese carmakers to reduce the price differences of Chinese vehicles imported into Europe. However, these measures will push the establishment of a Chinese industry located in Europe (carmakers and probably part of the "Supply chain").
Paris Motorshow 2024: Exhibition Plan
 
The Italian Melfi factory will welcome five new models from 2025
While Dongfeng announced that it would build an assembly plant in Italy which will begin operations before 2030, the Stellantis group announced that it planned to develop the production of its models in Italy by notably implementing five new models in its Melfi factory, located in southern Italy. The Italian government had in fact expressed reservations regarding the announcement of the manufacturing of the Jeep Avenger, Fiat 600 and Alfa-Romeo Junior in Poland (on the Tichy site) although according to it these models could have been manufactured in Italy. The announcement of the production of the new Fiat Grande Panda in Serbia was also misunderstood by the Italian government.
 
The Stellantis group has therefore issued two announcements, the first concerning existing models, namely the electric Fiat 500 and the hybrid Jeep Compass, which will continue to be manufactured in Italy, the first on the Mirafiori site and the second on the site of Melfi. A hybrid version will support the electric Fiat 500 whose sales are stagnating.
 
The second announcement concerning future models seems more interesting insofar as it concerns four currently unknown models which will be produced on the Melfi site, most of them being 100% electric D-segment SUVs: an Opel version ( perhaps called Manta), a Lancia version (perhaps called Aurélia), a DS version (perhaps called DS8) and another shorter DS version (perhaps called DS5). These four models launched in 2025 and 2026 will be added to the new generation of Jeep Compass expected in 2025. They will all be equipped with the STLA Medium platform. In return, the Fiat 500X and Jeep Renegade produced in Melfi will be discontinued at the end of 2024 and the end of 2025 respectively.
The European and Chinese markets by segment remain very different in 2024
The European and Chinese passenger car markets, which are expected to represent respectively nearly 13.5 million units and nearly 27 million units over the whole of 2024, remain very different in terms of market segments.
 
The big difference between the two large markets is the strong presence of the D segment in China and the strong presence of the B market in Europe. Remember that passenger cars (sedans, SUVs, minivans) are classified in segments from A to F, depending on their size and price, segment A cars being the smallest and less expensive, segment cars F being the largest and most expensive.
 
On the European market (EU + United Kingdom + Switzerland + Norway), in the first half of 2024, segment C represents 38% market share compared to 37% in the first half of 2023. It is two points ahead of segment B which represents 36 % market share compared to 35% last year. Conversely, segments D and A lose one point each, at 15% and 5% market share. Segment E is stable at 6%. Remember that segment A represented up to 10% of the market in the 2000s.
 
On the Chinese market, in the first half of 2024, the D segment remains largely in the lead and strengthens its domination with 53% market share compared to 47% in the first half of 2023. The C segment, on the other hand, loses 5 points of market share, passing from 34% to 29%.
 
The other segments remain largely in the minority, with 6% for segment E (stable) and 6% for all segments A-B, down one point compared to last year. These data confirm that Chinese market is a much bigger vehicles’ market than European market.
The Brazilian automobile market grew by 15.7% in the first half of 2024
The Brazilian automobile market for passenger cars increased by 15.7% in the first half of 2024 compared to the first half of 2023, to 848,845 units compared to 733,715 (for the record: first half of 2023/first half of 2022 = +7.4% ).
 
The election of President Lula at the end of 2022 and the establishment of his economic program is probably not the cause of this strong market growth, growth having started in 2021 but at a lower level. We thus went from 1.56 million passenger car sales in 2021 to 1.58 million units in 2022, 1.72 million units in 2023 and over six months of 2024 we are at an annual rate of 1 .99 million units. Growth is accelerating.
 
This figure is, however, more than twice lower than that of India for example (in absolute value), which places Brazil in sixth position globally, behind China, the United States, Europe, India and Japan.
 
By manufacturer, the Stellantis group remains largely the leader in the Brazilian market (24.5% market share) thanks mainly to the Fiat brand which has been omnipresent in this market since the 1960s, arriving in the wake of the Volkswagen brand established here in the 1960s. 50. The Fiat brand represents two-thirds of the Stellantis group's sales in Brazil in 2024.
 
The Stellantis group sees its sales stagnate between 2023 and 2024, while the Volkswagen group (17.5% of market share) sees its sales increase by 20% thanks to the success of recently launched models. The GM group (13.5% market share) clearly stands out from Volkswagen and is getting dangerously close to the Hyundai-Kia group (10.5% market share), which is progressing. Chinese manufacturers now occupy 9% of the Brazilian market, growing constantly.
 
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