The new Porsche 2016-2019 product plan

 

The Porsche brand has unveiled its new 2016-2019 product plan based on an objective to move from a volume of 250,000 vehicles produced in 2016 to 350 000 in 2020:

End of 2016: the second generation of the Panamera (F-segment) will be launched. It adopts a design closer to that of the coupe and cabriolet 911 than the previous generation of the Panamera.

In 2017, will be launched the second generation of the Cayenne (SUV). Porsche abandoned the idea of launching a large F-Segment SUV, as it would likely have hampered sales of the Bentley Bentayga in the same Volkswagen Group.

In 2018, will be launched the new generation of coupe and cabriolet 911 (which dates back to 1965). The same year, the Macan (D-segment SUV) should be restyled (mid-life restyling), taking up certain characteristics of the Cayenne launched a year earlier.

In 2019, will be likely launched a new E-segment sedan, which will compete  in particular with the MaseratiGhibli, and which will take up the style of the Panamera on a reduced scale.

Finally in 2020, is expected the launch of a compact SUV (C segment) based on the VW Tiguan, which should expand the customer of the brand.

The latest generation of Boxster and Cayman have been launched early 2016 and will therefore not be replaced before 2021.


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Renault unveils the replacement for the Fluence

 

After the launch of the 4th generation of the 5-door Megane in the first quarter of 2016 and the station wagon Megane in the second quarter of 2016, Renault unveils , in the third quarter 2016 , the notchback version of the Megane (called Megane Sedan) that will replace the Fluence whose origins date back to 2009.

Based on the recent station wagon Megane, from which it keeps the  length (4.63 m) - and the platform CMF C / D - the Megane sedan will be produced in the  Bursa Oyak plant of Renault, in Turkey - like the Fluence was -, and will be sold only in the following countries: Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Australia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Estonia, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Israel, Latvia, Lebanon, Lithuania, Morocco, Poland, Czech Republic, Romania, Serbia , Slovenia, Tunisia, Turkey and Ukraine. Its main markets are therefore Eastern Europe, North Africa, the Middle East and Australia.

The Megane Sedan is equipped with the same engines as the 5-door Megane, i.e. a 1.2l petrol engine (100hp and 130hp), and two diesel 1.5l (90hp and 110hp) and 1.6l (130hp and 165ch) engines. It will not come with the 1.6l petrol engine (205hp) of the GT, but a deflated version of this engine (115hp), which does not exist on the 5-door Megane.
It should display better figures than the
Fluence, which will not be sold beyond 40 000 units worldwide in 2016, half the level reached in 2012 (80,000 units).


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The new Volkswagen 2016-2019 product plan

 

Volkswagen unveiled its new 2016-2019 product plan:

After the launch in 2016 of the new Tiguan (C-segment SUV), several novelties are expected in 2017:
  ° The replacement for the CC which should be positioned in the E segment, between the
Passat (D segment) and the future 100 % electric Phaeton (F-segment).
  °
The successor of the Polo (B segment) and  a vehicle in replacement for the Touareg (E-segment SUV).
  ° Two new models expected to be released that year: first the
Crossblue (provisional name), large E-segment SUV which can carry 7 passengers and has been designed primarily for the US market, and the Tiguan XL (provisional name), lengthened version of the Tiguan (C segment) which can carry 7 passengers and is positioned in the D segment

In 2018, are expected:
  ° Canyon (provisional name), B-segment SUV based on the Polo, that will compete with the Renault
Captur, Peugeot 2008, Opel Mokka, Nissan Juke and Ford Ecosport.
  ° At the end of the year
the new Golf (C-segment) which will be the 8th generation, as well as the replacement for the Phaeton (segment F), which will become a 100% electric limousine, as is the Tesla model S.

Finally, in 2019, are expected the replacement of the Bulli, i.e. the Kombi marketed from 1950 to 1980. This model should also have a 100% electric powertrain.

The latest generation of the Passat that was launched in 2014 will not be replaced before 2020.


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Volkswagen will increase its production capacity in Spain

 

In Europe, sales of the VW brand remained stable in a market up 9.5% over first semester 2016.

The new Polo (segment B) will be launched in 2017 (instead of 2016 previously), and its SUV version in 2018 (instead of 2017).
Both models will be produced in Pamplona (Spain), which will require a production capacity increase of the plant from 300 000 to 350 000 vehicles per year.

It is to be noted that between 250 000 and 350 000 VW Polo are sold each year in Europe.
In 2016 Inovev expects that VW will sell 300,000 units of this model, taking into account that 160 000 vehicles were sold in Europe in the first half 2016 and that sales growth should slow down in the second half (Brexit effect).

Given the success of the B-segment SUV in Europe (Renault Captur, Peugeot 2008, Opel Mokka, Nissan Juke), Volkswagen has found no alternative but to increase the capacity of its plant in Pamplona. The other plants such as those located in Slovakia or South Africa are indeed saturated.


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The Brexit could lead to a significant decline in UK market

 

The vote in favourof Brexit generates a series of unknowns, and its consequences remain to be defined.
These  will depend
on negotiations that will take place to set new rules governing trade relations between Britain and the European Union. And concluding agreements of this scale will take time. The Brexit therefore opens a period of instability and uncertainty.

The high export British car industry (eight out of ten cars are exported) spoke for “Remain”, pointing risks  of custom duties coming back. Tariffs would indeed increase the sale price of both each car assembled in Britain and each imported car in Britain.

In the short term, the Brexit could lower economic activity in Britain, making decrease car market and local production (decline in exports). The UK market has already declined in June 2016 (-0.8%), after rising 4.1% in the first five months of the year.

Inovev now expects, as its medium scenario, stability of the UK market in 2016 (+ 0.5% for total 2016 against  Total 2015), decreases of 5.5% in 2017 and 6.0% in 2018. This drop in the British market will be the consequence of the slowdown economic growth, the depreciation of the pound and reduced buyer confidence. Nevertheless, the UK market had risen in the last four years (+ 35% between 2011 and 2015) and the level now provided by Inovev for 2017-2018 will be a level still very close to pre-crisis (2005 -2007).

It has to be noted that scenarii that can be provided at this time are uncertain, as it is impossible to anticipate what will happen between EU and UK in next months, and the drop might be still sharper.


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