Inovev forecasts 50,000 units per year of the new Nissan Ariya
Nissan finally decides to expand its range of electric cars, as demand (still weak) is increasing day by day around the world, and mainly in Europe and China. Since 2010, this type of car was represented at Nissan only by the Leaf, a bit like at Renault, which mainly focused on the Zoe.

Recently, Nissan and Renault have decided to expand their range of electric cars (especially in the SUV category) based a new common Renault-Nissan platform.

Nissan has just unveiled its first electric C-segment SUV, the Ariya, which is like a new generation of X-Trail completely redesigned and equipped with a 100% electric motor. Its dimensions are indeed close to the X-Trail: 4.60 m long, 1.85m wide, 1.66m high.

Renault will unveil three SUVs from different segments, between 2021 and 2023, based on the same platform as the Ariya.
They
will all be produced at the Douai (France) site while the Nissan Ariya will be produced in Tochigi (Japan).

The Ariya's battery is available in two capacities, one allowing a range of 350 km according to the WLTP cycle, the other allowing a range of 450 km. The prices have not been communicated but they will necessarily be much higher than those of the X-Trail (35,000 euros). They should, however, be lower than those of the Audi E-Tron and Mercedes EQC.

In this context, Inovev forecasts 50,000 units per year of the new Nissan Ariya.


    
 

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The European market fell by 39.4% in the first half of 2020
The European passenger car market (29 countries) fell by 39.4% over the first 6 months of 2020, compared with -42.8% over the first 5 months and -39% over the first 4 months, compared to the same period of 2019. The drop reached -24% in June against -56.9% in May, due to the end of the lock-down in mainly all European countries.

By carmakers:

• Toyota Group (-27.9%),
• GeelyGroup (-29.4%),
• BMW Group (-33.6%),
• Volkswagen Group (-35.9%),
• Hyundai-Kia Group (-36 , 1%),
• Daimler Group (-39.0%),
• Renault-Nissan Group (-41.7%),
• Tata Group (-44.9%),
• PSA Group (-45.4%),
• FCA Group ( -46.2%),
• Ford Group (-46.7%).


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 150,000 units per year of the new VW Caddy
Volkswagen has unveiled the new generation of its compact utility Caddy, which will continue to be marketed as a passenger transport version (under the name of ludospace) or as a light utility vehicle. This vehicle competes with the Renault Kangoo (which will be renewed this summer), Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner, Opel Combo, Fiat Doblo, Mercedes Citan, Ford Transit Courier and Connect.

Each year, between 140,000 and 160,000 units of the Volkswagen Caddy are sold, half of which are passenger transport versions which serve as a more economical variant of the more expensive Volkswagen Touran. Today, it sells twice as many Caddy as Touran, the latter is expected to disappear without a successor. MPVs are indeed on the way out, while passenger transport derivative versions of the utility vehicles (like the Dacia Dokker) continue to sell well.

The new Volkswagen Caddy therefore sees its cabin space increasing thanks to a length augmented by 9 cm (4.51 m), a width by 6 cm (1.86 m) and a wheelbase by 7 cm (2.76 m) ). Like the Kangoo, Berlingo and Partner, an extended version (4.86 m) is available.

The new Caddy uses the MQB platform as the new Golf. Its engines are: 1.0 TSI petrol with 116 hp, 1.4 TGI natural gas with 110 hp and 2.0 TDI diesel with 102 hp and 122 hp. The new Caddy will continue to be produced at the Volkswagen site in Poznan (Poland) at the rate of 150,000 units per year according to Inovev.


    
 

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The American market shrinks by 22.5% in the first half of 2020
The American car market (USA) for passenger cars and light trucks (considered as passenger cars in Europe and China) fell by 22.5% over the first 6 months of 2020, compared to -21.9% over the first 5 months and -20% over the first 4 months, compared to the same period in 2019. The improvement of the American market is therefore still not foreseeable. 

Still positive in February 2020 (+ 10.3%), as it was not yet affected by the coronavirus crisis, this market rolled into the red from March 2020 (-36.9%) and this trend was amplified in April (-46.1%) before returning to a smaller drop in May (-28.7%) and in June (-25.3%).

Who were the carmakers most affected during this Covid-19 crisis in the United States? Tesla sees its sales almost doubling when the declines of GM (-21.6%), Ford (-23.1%) and Chrysler (-25.9%) are almost equal to the decline in the market as a whole. But we also note the relatively “good performance” of the Korean group Hyundai-Kia (-16.2%) which achieves a much better performance than the Japanese, German and British groups.


    
 

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The Chinese market is down 22.5% in the first half of 2020
The Chinese market of passenger car fell 22.5% in the first 6 months of 2020, whereas it fell by -27.5% in the first 5 months and
-
35.5% in the first 4 months , compared to the same period of 2019. The market is improving because the month of June was positive (+ 2.1%) like the month of May (+ 7.2%), the first positive month since 2018. We can therefore say that the coronavirus crisis seems to have passed in China and that future months will be on the rise.

However, Inovev indicates that the catching up of missed sales in February and March 2020 will not take place, the market should remain slightly down for the full year, probably between -7.5% and -12, 5%. The Chinese government is forecasting a 10% drop in the market over the year as a whole. To end 2020 at -10%, a second semester at + 12.5% would be needed, which does not seem impossible, given the results recorded in May and June.

It is to remind that the month of March posted a drop of 48.4% and the month of February a drop of 81.7% during the peak of the coronavirus crisis. April was back to the level of April of last year.

China was the first major nation affected by the pandemic to restart and return to a level of sales comparable to that of 2019 as of May 2020, which is not at all the case for the European and American markets which will remain in negative throughout the year. China's weight in terms of world registrations will therefore be greater after the crisis than before the crisis.


    
 

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