The BMW/Mini 2020-2023 product plan
- 说明
The BMW/Mini 2020-2023 product plan
- After the renewal of the 1 Series and 3 Series in 2018-2019, in 2020 BMW will launch a new sedan, located between these two models in terms of price and dimensions, the 2 Series Gran Coupe (the term Gran Coupe at BMW actually applies to 4 or 5-door low- line sedans). The 4 Series sedan (4 Series Gran Coupe) will be renewed in 2021. Then the 7 Series sedan will be renewed in 2022 and the 5 Series sedan in 2023. The Series 4 coupés and convertibles will be renewed in 2020 and 2021 respectively. It does not appear that the 2 Series Coupe and Convertible Series will be replaced by 2023. As for the coupe, convertible and Gran Coupe Series 8, their launch is recent and they will not be restyled until 2024.
- Regarding SUVs, it should first be noted that the X3 and X5 in their plug-in hybrid version will be launched in 2020. The X2 and X3 will be restyled in 2021, the X4 and X5 in 2022, the X7 in 2023, the X1 and X3 will be renewed in 2022 and 2023 respectively.
- The 100% electric i4 and i-Next vehicles will be launched in 2022. The i-Next seems to succeed the Active Tourer and Gran Tourer MPVs. The i3 and i8 will probably have no successors as no replacement is expected by 2023.
- At Mini, after the launch of the 100% electric Mini E in 2019, the British brand will restyle its Countryman model in 2020, then renew its Mini One / Mini Cooper model in 2022 and the Clubman station wagon in 2023.
- Finally, the Z4 convertible, which shares its platform with the Toyota Supra coupe, will be restyled in 2023.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (1/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (1/4)
- After the failure of the merger agreement between the Renault and Fiat-Chrysler groups, the Italian-American manufacturer has moved closer to the PSA group to create a group capable of competing with the three giants of the automobile: Toyota, Volkswagen and Renault-Nissan. In 2018, the Fiat-Chrysler Group (FCA) sold 4.84 million vehicles (including 3.06 million from the Chrysler Group and 1.78 million from the Fiat Group) and the PSA group sold 3.88 million units, which totals 8.72 million vehicles, compared to 10.76 million for Renault-Nissan, 10.60 million for Volkswagen, 10.36 million for Toyota. The PSA-FCA group would thus be ahead of the GM groups (8.38 million) and Hyundai-Kia (7.40 million). In 2019, the PSA-FCA group should follow the Renault-Nissan group which fell to third place, following the difficulties of Nissan and ahead of Hyundai-Kia and GM.
- What are the benefits of such an increase in volume?
The doubling of the production volume would allow:
1 / a reduction in the number of platforms and engines, as a result of pooling platforms and engines (as was done recently for models of the Opel brand sold by GM to PSA) .
2 / economies of scale, notably by purchasing more common components.
3 / amortization of research costs for all future vehicles, especially electric and autonomous vehicles.
4 / a streamlining of production tools that could lead to inefficient plant closures.
The doubling of the production volume would allow:
1 / a reduction in the number of platforms and engines, as a result of pooling platforms and engines (as was done recently for models of the Opel brand sold by GM to PSA) .
2 / economies of scale, notably by purchasing more common components.
3 / amortization of research costs for all future vehicles, especially electric and autonomous vehicles.
4 / a streamlining of production tools that could lead to inefficient plant closures.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (3/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (3/4)
- For the FCA group, this merger is probably the operation of the last chance, because the Italian-American manufacturer has fallen far behind in the field of electric cars, hybrid cars, autonomous cars, connected cars and even the modular platform. Thus, the Fiat Punto has not been replaced for lack of new platform (the Punto shared its platform with the Opel Corsa), and the Lancia may suffer the same fate.
- Sergio Marchionne had tried to merge the FCA group with other manufacturers but these attempts had all failed. After his death, another draft agreement between Renault and FCA this time had also failed. The planned merger between PSA and FCA is therefore the long awaited buoy by the Italian-American manufacturer as its aging European range will be able to benefit from PSA's new technologies (particularly platforms and electrification).
- Fiat's European range is now built around the Fiat 500, which accounts for half of the brand's sales in Europe. On the other hand, the PSA group will have to differentiate the different general brands from each other (Peugeot, Citroën, Opel and Fiat). Ditto for premium brands (Alfa-Romeo, Lancia, DS, Maserati).
Concerning utilities, there are already partnership agreements on Fiat Ducato, Citroën Jumper and Peugeot Boxer.
As for the Dodge Ram pickups, they are unrivaled at PSA, while the Jeep are in a different category than the PSA SUVs.
Concerning utilities, there are already partnership agreements on Fiat Ducato, Citroën Jumper and Peugeot Boxer.
As for the Dodge Ram pickups, they are unrivaled at PSA, while the Jeep are in a different category than the PSA SUVs.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (2/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (2/4)
- This merger would also allow geographical complementarity, since FCA achieves 54% of its sales in North America and 26% in Europe, while PSA achieves 84% of its sales in Europe and 0% in North America. Thus, the PSA-FCA group has two more balanced sales regions: Europe (51% of sales) and the USA (28% of sales). By contrast, China would remain marginal, with 4% of global sales. Compared to the Volkswagen, Toyota or Renault-Nissan groups, the PSA-FCA group has a strong European and American base, but a very weak Chinese base, which is a handicap given the strong potential of the Chinese market.
- In Europe, the new group would trail the leading Volkswagen group with 22.5% of the market (16% for PSA and 6.5% for FCA) against 24% for the German manufacturer.
- The merger would also allow PSA to gain a foothold on US soil (FCA represents 13% of the US market, inherited from the presence of the Chrysler Group) that it had abandoned in the 90s and that it had planned to reinvest in a form or under another. This return to US soil will be done without any additional investment from PSA, via the Chrysler brands. An attack on the US market via European brands could be envisaged but seems difficult.
- The new group would be the first manufacturer in South America, thanks to the strong presence of Fiat.
- By cons it would be virtually absent from the Chinese market since PSA and FCA only realize anecdotal sales (1% of the market together). It would also be almost absent in the Indian market and in the ASEAN zone.
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (4/4)
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Merger of PSA and FCA : analysis (4/4)
- Under the aegis of PSA, the Fiat range is to be totally revised. Indeed, the current range of the Italian brand is both very incomplete and incoherent. The PSA group, which will take the responsibility of rebuilding the Fiat range, could be inspired by what it has done for Opel. After the elimination of the segment A sedans (Adam and Karl), the compact MPV (Zafira) and the convertible (Cascada), the new Opel range was rebuilt in the following way: a B-segment sedan (Corsa), a C-segment sedan (Astra), a D-segment sedan (Insignia), a B-segment SUV (Crossland), a C-segment SUV (Grandland), to which is added another B-segment SUV (Mokka) and light-duty SUVs ( Combo, Vivaro, Movano).
- Fiat, which has gradually eliminated its F-segment sedans (130 in 1977), E (Croma in 1996), D (Marea in 2007) and B (Punto in 2018) sees its current range to be reduced to the Fiat 500, the Fiat Panda and the Fiat Tipo whose platforms are old. This range is complemented by the Fiorino, Doblo, Talento and Ducato utilities, which represent a wider range than passenger cars. The glaring lack of investment under the Marchionne era was dramatic for the Fiat brand.
- The future Fiat range could therefore be composed as follows: an A-segment sedan (Fiat 500), a B-segment sedan (Opel Corsa base ... as between 2005 and 2018), a C-segment sedan (Opel Astra base) , a B-segment SUV (Fiat 500X), a C-segment SUV (Opel Grandland base) and existing utilities. Rebuilt thus, the range Fiat would be attractive again in a very short time, at the image of the range Opel which has transformed - under the aegis of PSA - very quickly.
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