The German PC market increased by 2.9% in 2014 (2/2-Carmakers)
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Indian automobile market and production 2015 forecast
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Asia Automobile Sales/Production: Decline in 2014 and moderate Recovery Forecast for 2015
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- Automobile sales (PC+UV) volume of 12 countries in Asia (Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam, Singapore, Brunei, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka) is forecast to drop 2.2 percent from last year to 8.72 million units. Thailand declined 30 percent due to a sluggish market triggered by the First Car purchase incentive program, which ate away future demand, and by political instability. Meanwhile India's automobile market is forecast to be on par with that of last year despite expectations of economic recovery after the new government took office.
- In 2015, Asian sales are projected to go up 4 percent to nearly 9.1 million units. Market recovery is anticipated in India based on dropping crude oil price and stable inflation. Meanwhile, increased fuel prices in Indonesia are projected to keep sales on the same level as last year.
- Automobile production (PC+UV) volume of 9 countries in Asia (Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam, India, Pakistan) is forecast to drop three percent from last year to 12.92 million units, falling below 13 million units for the first time in three years. Thailand's sluggish domestic demand and weak export pushed down overall production of Asia. Production weakened further by decline in Korea due to walkouts and by India's slight decrease.
- In 2015, driven by rising volume in Indonesia, production is projected to go up 6 percent from last year to 13.75 million units, increasing for the first time in three years.
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Korean automobile market and production 2015 forecast
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The US market for PC + LUV increased by 5.9% in 2014 (1/2-General)
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- The US market grew by 5.9% over the whole year 2014, to reach 16 531 688 PC + LUV (against 15 604 325 units in 2013). Let us recall that in the US SUVs, minivans and pickups are included in the category of light utility vehicles (LUV).
- 2014 figures mark the fifth year of growth since the catastrophic year it experienced in 2009. The US market today is poised to regain record high levels of 2000-2001 which had exceeded 17 million units.
- When observing the chart below, we can see that the US market is relatively cyclical, with strong periodic variations (note the large declines in 1974-1975, 1980-1981, 1990-1991 and 2009).
- Since the US market grew by almost 1 million units between 2013 and 2014, it is not impossible that it keeps going and reaches a new record in 2015 of 17.5 million units; given there has been no noticeable sign of slowing down.
- The carmaker ranking did not change in 2014 compared to 2013. The GM group remains by far the market leader (with nearly 3 million vehicles) ahead of the Ford group (2.5 million vehicles), the Toyota Group (2.4 million) and the Fiat-Chrysler group (2.1 million). Followed by far by the Honda group (1.5 million), Renault-Nissan (1.4 million), Hyundai-Kia (1.3 million). Then, again very far behind the Volkswagen group, Subaru, BMW, Daimler and Mazda. Only Ford and Volkswagen have sold fewer vehicles in 2014 than in 2013.
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