Production forecast for Europe in 2015 (PC + LUV)

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Production forecast for Europe in 2015 (PC + LUV)

- European automotive production (29 countries) of PC + LUV in 2014 and 2015 will depend mainly on sales volumes reached in this area, slight growth is expected in comparison to the decrease of 2013, the worst performance of the decade after that of 2009.

- Nevertheless, European automotive production is expected to surpass the 18 million vehicle threshold in 2015 (against 17.4 million in 2014 and 16 million in 2013), a figure still far from the 20 million achieved in 2007.

- The increased level of local sales  as well as exports (mainly to China and North America) should support European production that remains in overcapacity since 2008, despite the successive manufacturing plant shutdowns made since 2008 and that continue in 2014 (Bochum / Opel and Genk / Ford). However, Russia remains in the dark, inasmuch as European exports to this region are expected to decline significantly in 2014 and 2015.

- The arrival of new generations of models produced in Europe should help offset this handicap. Finally, imported models from outside of Europe should continue to decline.

 


- Inovev anticipates a production growth of around 4.5% between 2014 and 2015.

14-26-1  


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Fiat Chrysler USA Product Plan (2015-2018)

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Fiat Chrysler USA Product Plan (2015-2018)

- Fiat-Chrysler, the 7th largest automotive group worldwide, unveiled its product plan for the American market. In 2014, the FCA group should produce some 2.9 million vehicles (PC + LCV) in North America (USA, Canada and Mexico). For the years to come, FCA has decided to renew key models of the American market (via the Chrysler, Fiat, Jeep, Dodge and Alfa Romeo brands).

- Chrysler will launch four new models between 2015 and 2018: In 2016, the 100 C-segment sedan, and a hybrid version of the MPV Town & Country (produced at 135 000 units in 2013). In 2017, a new crossover in segment E and another crossover in segment D in 2018.

- Fiat will launch one new vehicle in 2015, the 500X, a B-segment SUV whose worldwide production  should reach 75 000 units a year .

- Jeep will launch a B-segment SUV, namely the Renegade in 2015, based on the platform of the 500X and produced in the same factory (Melfi, in Italy). Its production should reach 80 000 units. In 2018, the Grand Wagoneer, an SUV from segment E that has not been produced since 1991 will make a come back.

- Alfa Romeo will launch two D-segment vehicles in 2016: a sedan and an SUV.

- Dodge will launch an LCV in 2015 and a B-segment sedan in 2018.

- In 2014, the most produced FCA vehicles in North America should be : the Dodge Ram Pick Up (575 000 units), the Jeep Grand Cherokee SUV (330 000 units), the Cherokee (270 000 units), the Wrangler (230 000 units) and the MPVs Dodge Caravan (225 000 units) and Chrysler Town & Country (196 000 units).


14-25-9  


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The latest from Renault-Nissan at the Moscow Motor Show

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The latest from Renault-Nissan at the Moscow Motor Show

- The Moscow exhibition is being held at a time when Russia is recording a sharp drop in its auto market. In the first seven months of 2014, the Russian market (PC + LCV) fell by 10% to 1.4 million units. The leader of the Russian market is Renault-Nissan (and its subsidiary AvtoVAZ), whose market share has overtime reduced to 30.4% of local registrations (15.7% for AvtoVAZ, 7.9% for Renault and 6.8% for Nissan) but has nevertheless some novelties to present during the show.

- AvtoVAZ presented the Vesta sedan and X-Ray SUV, both from segment C, that are to be marketed within a year. The Vesta will gradually replace the Priora (restyled at the same show) whose sales will reach 52 000 units in 2014 (and up to 172 000 units in 2008). It is based on the platform of the Renault Megane and not on that of the Logan. The X-Ray is based on the Renault Duster, which is also the platform of the Logan (B0 platform). The X-Ray may reach a higher volume than the Renault Duster (who's sales will reach 85 000 units in 2014).

- Renault unveiled the new generations of the Logan and the Sandero (segment B) that have already been marketed in Europe for a year and a half. The Logan should reach 53 000 units sold in 2014, while the Sandero will reach 58 000 units.

- Nissan introduced the Datsun Mi-Do (B-segment), which is a hatchback version of the trunk sedan On-Do (50 000 units in 2014), itself derived from the Lada Granta. The Mi-Do will compete with the Kia Rio (80 000 units in 2014), the Lada Kalina (70 000 units) and VW Polo (60 000 units). Nissan also introduced the Nissan Terrano SUV (segment C), which is a rebadged Renault Duster, already marketed in India, but whose sale volumes will be less than those of the current Renault Duster and future Lada X-Ray.


14-25-8  


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Suzuki unveils the new generation Vitara SUV

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Suzuki unveils the new generation Vitara SUV

- The Japanese manufacturer Suzuki will present at the Paris Motor Show in October the new generation of its SUV, namely the Vitara, relaunching the model that ended in 2006. This new model will not be part of segment C but of segment B (It is smaller than the Grand Vitara and will only measure 4.21m). This segment transfer is due to the streamlining of the Suzuki SUV range that in 2013 had overlapping models in the same segment (SX4, SX4-S Cross and Grand Vitara). Suzuki currently has 4 SUVs in its range (the Jimny from segment B, the SX4 from segment B, the SX4-S Cross from segment C and the Grand Vitara from segment C). In 2015, the range will become more simple and will consist of three models (the Jimny, Vitara and SX4-S Cross).


- This new Vitara will have two 1600 cc engines: 1 gasoline (four-cylinder) and one diesel engine (four cylinders). No 100% electric or hybrid versions have been announced yet.


- Production of the new Suzuki will begin in 2015, in the Hungarian Esztergom plant. In 2014, the plant produced the SX4 S-Cross (52 000 units), Swift (48 000 units) and Splash (15 000), for a total of 115 000 units and a production capacity of 300 000 units. Let us recall that the Splash is reaching the end of its life cycle and will be discontinued by the end of the year.


- Inovev estimated full-year production of the future Vitara at 100 000 units worldwide, including 50 000 units produced in Hungary. Worldwide, the volume of sales of this model have moved from 202 000 units in 2007 ( sales peak) to less than 45 000 units in 2014 Within the SUV B-segment (segment of the future Vitara), the Vitara will compete with the Chevrolet Trax (280 000 units produced), the Nissan Juke (223 000 units), the Ford Ecosport (202,000 units), the Renault Captur (111 000 units) and the Mini Countryman (108 000 units ).


14-25-7  


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Kia to build a new plant in Mexico

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Kia to build a new plant in Mexico

- The Korean carmaker Kia (Hyundai-Kia group) announced the construction of a new plant in Mexico, at Monterey. • The plant will start producing vehicles in the first quarter of 2016 and will have a capacity of 300 000 units.

- Building a plant in Mexico will initially enable Kia to supply the United States market, accounting for nearly 80% of Kia sales in the Americas (North and South), where the manufacturer has doubled its sales between 2004 and 2013, from 270 000 units to 535 000 units. Secondly, Kia wants to expand in major Central and South American markets, where it currently has a very limited presence (Chile is the largest market in South America with just over 30 000 units sold in 2013 ).

- Kia has not yet disclosed the models that will be produced at the plant, simply stating that it would be compact cars (from segments B and C). However, one can deduce that it will be the best selling compact models sold in the USA and currently produced in South Korea, namely the current or alternate models of the Soul (MPV from segment-B), Forte (sedan - segment C), Rio (sedan - segment B) and Sportage (SUV - segment C). These four vehicles were sold in 2013 to almost 330 000 units across the Americas, which fully justifies the capacity of the future plant.

- In 2013, the Kia manufacturer produced nearly 2.8 million vehicles worldwide with capacity of just over 3 million units. By 2016, Kia will have 11 plant - excluding CKD plants: three in China, two in Russia, one in Slovakia, 3 in South Korea, 1 in the USA and soon 1 in Mexico.


14-25-5  


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