Production forecast in Turkey for 2015 (PC + LUV)

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Production forecast in Turkey for 2015 (PC + LUV)

- The Turkish automotive production increases like the Turkish market, in spurts. But it still remains fairly independent of the local market as the country imports 70% of registered vehicles, mainly from continental Europe.

- Nevertheless, Turkey exports 75% of its production, mainly to continental Europe. So it is very susceptible to be affected by changes in the European market .

- Low production levels in 2009, 2012 and 2013 are mainly explained by both the low level of the European market and the low level of the Turkish market (which had declined by 10% in 2012).

- If Inovev foresees a reboot in production in Turkey by 2014 (+ 19%) and 2015 (5%), it is mainly because the European market is showing signs of recovery and that several manufacturers will increase their production volumes in this country: Hyundai has produced the i10 there since 2013 (100 000 units per year) and is starting the production of the new generation i20 (which should exceed the sales level of the previous generation), Renault manufactures increasingly more Clios (at the expense of the French plant of Flins), Toyota that has been manufacturing the Corolla since 2013 (100 000 units per year), Ford that offset the transfer of the Transit Connect to Valencia in Spain, with the Transit Courier and the arrival of part of the Transits formerly manufactured in Southampton in England (this site closed in 2013).

14-27-10  


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Nissan launches the Sentra on the Russian market

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Nissan launches the Sentra on the Russian market

- The Nissan Sentra is a C-segment vehicle, the production of the new generation began in 2013 in Mexico in order to supply the North American market (USA, Canada, Mexico). The Japanese manufacturer has announced its launch on the Russian market where the Sentra will replace the former Tiida imported from Mexico.

- The new Sentra sold in Russia will be assembled at the Renault-Nissan-AvtoVAZ plant in Izhevsk, east of Moscow. The plant that once produced Moskvitch and Kia vehicles (2005 to 2011), was bought by the French-Japanese group and since 2012 it produces the Lada Granta and started producing the Renault Logan since 2014. The Nissan Sentra will be the third model of the group to be assembled on the site of IZH.

- The beginning of its marketing is scheduled for November 2014. The current Tiida has sold at an average of 10 000 copies per year in Russia. For the Sentra, we can rely on a much larger volume given the progress of the Russian market and the volumes produced by its competitors, such as the Skoda Octavia (with 40 000 units in 2014) and the Toyota Corolla (50 000 units 2014).

- The new Sentra is the fifth Nissan vehicle to be assembled in Russia, after the Teana (St Petersburg), X-Trail (St Petersburg), Almera (Togliatti), Terrano (Moscow). The Sentra will be followed by the Qashqai planned for the first half of 2015. Without including the very recent On-Do and Mi-Do that will be sold under the Renault-Nissan Datsun brand.

14-27-8  


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Ford to produce the Fiesta in Russia as of 2015

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Ford to produce the Fiesta in Russia as of 2015

- Ford currently has two plants in Russia, one in the west, in St. Petersburg, which assembles the Focus and Mondeo and the other located much further east, in Yelabuga (NaberezhnyeChelny). The second plant has recently started to assembled the Kuga, the Explorer and S-Max (following the agreements between Ford and Sollers a local assembler).


- In 2013, the two plants assembled 89 300 vehicles, but in 2014, due to the collapse of the Russian market (Ford vehicles manufactured in Russia are sold locally), they will produce only between 50 000 and 60 000 units, a decrease of over 30%.


- It is in this context that Ford announced the arrival in 2015 on the Yelabuga assembly lines, of the Fiesta (segment B) which completes the the manufacturer's range in the Russian market, by adding a model to the entry level model, whlle waiting for the arrival of the future Ecosport which may be assembled on the same site.


- Ford sells mainly the Focus in Russia (62 000 copies in 2013), but the American manufacturer wants to expand its range by betting on higher sales of small models in the Russian market. Kia has thus sold 90 000 Rio (segment B) in 2013, while Ford sold 8 000 Fiesta, all imported from Germany. In addition, Ford manages to protects itself from the Russian threat to restrict car imports from Europe.


14-27-7  


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Production forecast in Russia for 2015 (PC + LUV)

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Production forecast in Russia for 2015 (PC + LUV)

- Since 2009, the overall Russian car production has been on the rise. Admittedly, in 2013 and 2014, the automobile production volume of Russia declined somewhat (-1.2% in the first 7 months of 2014 after falling by 2.1% in 2013). The decrease in production is still lower than that recorded by registrations (-10% over the first 7 months of 2014 after falling 5.4% in 2013), in a country where almost 100% of the vehicles manufactured locally are sold on the local market.


- The reason for this gap between production and registrations is explained by the fact that the Russian government has decided to limit the number of imports into Russia and manufacture more new models in Russia (including foreign vehicles) . Geopolitical tensions over Ukraine have only accentuated this policy.


- Imports have thus decreased 30% over the first 7 months of 2014 and the phenomenon is still accelerating. In 2013, imports had declined by 10% compared to 2012. As a result, production is expected to fall by only 5% in 2014.


- Based on a more modest decline of the Russian market in 2015 and the continuation of the sharp drop in imports, Inovev provides a 12% increase in production in 2015. It could even exceed the level of 2012, thanks to the arrival of several new models on local assembly lines, like the Ford Fiesta, Nissan Sentra , Nissan Qashqai, and Datsun Mi-Do.


14-27-9  


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Jaguar unveils the new sedan XE (segment D)

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Jaguar unveils the new sedan XE (segment D)

- Jaguar the British manufacturer (owned by Tata Motors) unveiled its new sedan from segment D, the XE. The vehicle in the carmaker’s range is in the segment below that of the XF and will compete with Premium sedans firmly established on the world market, such as the BMW 3 Series, Audi A4, Mercedes C-Class and incidentally the Volvo S60 and Lexus IS.


- The new XE model replaces the old Jaguar X Type range launched in 2001 in a sedan body and in an estate version in 2004 (the first Jaguar estate in history)  its total production reached 369 000 units, up until 2009, the date of its removal from the market (i.e. an average 45 000 units per year).


- While the old X Type was manufactured in Halewood on the platform of the Ford Mondeo, the new XE will be built in Solihull (this will be the first Jaguar to be produced on the historic site of Land Rover) on a new aluminium platform that will used on other models produced on this site, including the future Jaguar and Land Rover SUV.


- The XE will be equipped with 4-cylinder fuel and diesel engines (Ingenium type) and the V6 taken from the XF. It measures 4,67m long (against 4,96m for the XF), 1.85m wide and 1.41m high.


- Inovev expects a production of 50 000 vehicles in Europe. In comparison, the BMW 3 Series is produced at almost 400 000 units and Mercedes C-Class and the Audi A4 between 250 000 and 300 000 units. Jaguar XE could also be produced in China in the new Jaguar Land Rover plant in Changzhou (a plant with a capacity 80 000 Land Rover and 30 000 Jaguar).


14-27-5  


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  1. Ford to build two new plants in China
  2. Turkish market Forecast for 2015 (PC + LUV)
  3. Spanish market forecast for 2015 (PC + LUV)
  4. Russian market forecast for 2015 (PC + LUV)
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