Mexico has become a significant export base for Japanese manufacturers

Mexico, eighth world car producer in 2013, just behind Korea (5th), India (6) and Brazil (7th) has always been a export base for U.S. carmakers (GM, Ford Chrysler) and Volkswagen, but this Latin American country is now becoming a significant export base for Japanese manufacturers for small cars (marketed for both North and South America).

In 2005, the production proportion of Japanese manufacturers in the Mexican automobile production represented 25%. It increased to 27% in 2013 and should soon exceed 30% due to the increased capacity of Nissan (700 000 to 900 000 units), Honda (100 000 to 300 000 units) and Mazda (0 to 140 000 units).

The capacity of all the Japanese manufacturers in Mexico will therefore go from 900 000 units in 2013 to 1 440 000 in 2014, representing an increase of 60%. This means that the Japanese believe in the potential of the Mexican market, but also and especially in the potential of North and South America whose registrations reached 25 million vehicles in 2013, against 23 million in 2005, 4 times more than in Japan.

Mexico will become a hub from where vehicles will leave towards the two regions of this continent. Thus, this country could exceed a production volume of 3.5 million units from 2015 to 2016.


14-15-9  

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Japan is the country that controls the most worldwide production

Automotive analyses often show production by country (where the plants are established) or by manufacturers. However, an important data isn't highlighted enough: which countries control these carmakers. Inovev incorporates this notion in its production databases. Thus the Renault-Nissan group is considered under the control of France and the Fiat-Chrysler group under the control of Italy.


While analysis of global automobile production by producing countries shows that China is in first position ahead of the USA, Japan, Germany, Korea, India and Brazil, the analysis of control countries shows a very different vision of the global automotive industry and forces.


In which case in 2013 Japan is the country that controls the most production in the world. The overall trend shows that global production is controlled by 8 countries. Developed countries and historical automobile players (Japan, USA, Germany ..) control much more production outside their own country. The developing countries (China, India) control very little of world production but still have automakers. Finally, the majority of other countries do not control any manufacturers but are major production sites (Brazil, Mexico, Thailand ...).

 

For some countries, the contrast is striking. Thus, France, the thirteenth largest producer is the fourth global player through the control of manufacturers, thanks to Renault-Nissan and PSA.


14-15-10  

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Subaru sold 800 000 vehicles worldwide in 2013

Subaru (a subsidiary of Fuji Heavy Industries, former Nakajima) is one of the smallest Japanese carmakers, along with Isuzu. It sold 800 000 vehicles in 2013, against 750 000 in 2012 and 580 000 in 2011. The manufacturer has been in full growth for three years (+38%), after an extended period stagnating (2000-2008).


Its production is concentrated in Japan (640 000 vehicles in 2013), in two large plants in Ota and Yajima Main. The only external plant is located in Lafayette, Indiana, in the USA (170 000 vehicles in 2013).


Its sales are mainly condensed in the United States (425 000 vehicles in 2013), its main market where it operates since 1990, and in Japan (180 000 vehicles in 2013). These two markets represented over 600 000 units in 2013 in other words 75% of its global sales.


Formerly linked to the American group General Motors that acquired a small stake in Subaru, it is now linked to the Japanese company Toyota that bought out GM’s shares. Subaru remains a small carmaker worldwide. Except for the Trezia (renamed version of the Toyota Yaris) and BRZ (renamed Toyota GT86 coupe), Subaru only sells models from segment C (Impreza and XV) and segment D (Forester, Legacy and Tribeca) with conventional bodyworks (sedan / estate) or SUV.

14-15-6  

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The Renault plant in Tangier has reached 50% of the production volume of the Pitesti plant

The Renault plant in Tangier (Morocco), which began operations in February 2012, reached in the first quarter of 2014  50% of the production volume of the Pitesti plant (Romania). The Tangier plant produced 45 000 vehicles in 2012, 100 000 in 2013 and 44 000 in the first quarter of 2014. The Pitesti plant produced 89 000 vehicles in the first quarter of 2014.


According to Inovev, the Renault plant in Tangier is expected to double its production volume in 2014 compared to 2013, to 190 000 vehicles. Its capacity should be increased by 50% in 2014, from 170 000 vehicles a year to 250 000. By 2018, the Moroccan site should produce up to 250 000 units while the Pitesti plant will produce 355 000 units.


The most striking result of this evolution is the gradual transfer of the Dacia Sandero from the Pitesti plant to the plant in Tangier and this since September 2013. The Sandero is currently exported throughout Europe.


The Romanian Dacia plant having reached saturation with the production of the Logan and the Duster (265 000 planned in 2014, against 223 000 in 2013, excluding CKD), the transfer of the Sandero to Morocco is an attractive option given the currently underutilized capacity of the Tangier plant.


On the graph below, we can clearly see how in several months the pace of the transfer of the Sandero from Pitesti to Tangier, leaving extra capacity so that the Pitesti plant can focus on the Logan and Duster.


14-15-8  

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Subaru will cease the production of the Toyota Camry by the end of 2016

Following the agreements between both manufacturers and because of insufficient capacity to produce the Camry (the best-selling passenger car in the United States), since 2007 Toyota has a production capacity of 100 000 vehicles per year in the U.S. Subaru plant located in Lafayette, Indiana (which has a total production capacity of 270 000 units per year).

The contract running for five years was renewed in 2012, but will not be renewed in 2017, according to the decision taken by Subaru. Subaru which has raised high expectations for the U.S. market (sales have doubled in four years), now wants to use 100% of the production capacity of its plant in Lafayette.

Subaru wants to produce other models of its own brand on site, such as the Forester, Impreza and XV and its adventurer version, currently imported from Japan.

Subaru plans to sell 500 000 vehicles in the United States in 2016, against 425 000 in 2013 and 340 000 in 2012. Currently, most models come from Japan (255 000 in 2013 out of 425 000 total sales). The manufacturer wants to reduce the volume of imports from Japan, like other Japanese carmakers.

Toyota will in turn repatriate the Camry from the Subaru plant to one of its U.S. plants or build a new plant in order to produce this model.
14-15-7  

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