Chinese carmakers occupy 5% of the Norwegian market
Chinese carmakers now occupy 5% of the Norwegian market and 2% of the UK market. Norway and the United Kingdom, countries outside the European Union, are the countries, with Italy, located in Europe with the highest rate of sales of Chinese cars in 2021. In the European Union, sales of Chinese cars n 'do not reach 1% of the passenger car market, but they already reach 2.7% in Sweden and 1.5% in the Netherlands.

In the first 10 months of 2021, Chinese car sales represented 65,203 units compared to 27,664 over the same period of 2020, which shows a growth of 135% year on year. Over the year as a whole, they could represent 80,000 units.

This growth in Europe contrasts with that observed in the United States where Chinese carmakers are unable to increase their sales, which remain extremely low.

Sales in Europe are made by around ten different brands mainly targeting the category of 100% electric cars (BEVs) and to a lesser extent that of rechargeable hybrids (PHEVs).

The goal of Chinese brands is to increase the number of their sales on the European continent, which seems receptive to new Chinese electric cars that are cheaper than their European counterparts.

It is difficult to predict the market share of Chinese carmakers in Europe in five or ten years, but Inovev believes that these carmakers will experience slow but real growth in ten years, with a market share of around 5% of the European market in 2030, or nearly one million sales.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 50,000 units per year of the new Volkswagen ID5
Volkswagen is gradually expanding the range of its 100% electric ID cars. After the ID3, ID4 and ID6 (on the Chinese market for the moment), the German carmaker has just unveiled the ID5, which is in a way the coupe version of the ID4 (at Audi, this type of body is called Sportback ). Not very different aesthetically from the ID4, the ID5 is despite everything a little longer (4.60 m against 4.58 m) and a little lower (1.61 m against 1.63 m) with a curvature of roof a little more pronounced.

If the MEB platform is identical, the electric motor is more powerful (174 hp against 148 hp on the ID4) and the carmaker offers a single battery configuration (77 kWh) which is the more powerful of the two offered on the ID4 ( 52 kWh and 77 kWh). There will be a 204 hp version scheduled for next summer. The range is in all cases set at 500 km according to the WLTP cycle.

This positioning means that Volkswagen sees the ID5 as a sportier model than the more family-oriented ID4. Suddenly, the price of the ID5 suffers. It is higher than that of the ID4, ie a price higher than 50,000 euros.

The Volkswagen ID5 will be produced from 2022 at the Zwickau site (five different models will be manufactured at this site from next spring: Volkswagen ID3, Volkswagen ID4, Volkswagen ID5, Seat Born, Audi Q4).

As with all electric cars, the ramp-up of the ID5 will be gradual. Inovev forecasts 25,000 units per year at the start of its career, then 50,000 units per year in mid-career.

Finally, we should add that the ID5 will have a close cousin: the Skoda Enyaq coupe which will be unveiled in March 2022.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units per year of the Subaru Solterra
Subaru unveiled its first 100% electric model, the Solterra SUV, derived from the Toyota BZ4X presented a few weeks earlier. The agreement between the two carmakers on the sharing of electric vehicles is thus concretized today with the launch of these two models. With Toyota announcing seven new all-electric vehicles under the name BZ ("Beyond Zero") by 2025, it is possible that Subaru will follow suit and successively launch its own versions of these seven models.

For Subaru, the entry into the electric market will allow it to relaunch its sales at a time when this brand is losing influence around the world (its production decreased from 1.1 million units in 2017 to 750,000 in 2021) and at a time when each carmaker must be able to rethink its range to meet the environmental constraints imposed by the European Commission, but also by other political bodies around the world (China, California, etc.)

The Solterra, which globally takes over the body and platform of the Toyota BZ4X, measures 4.69 m long and 1.86 m wide. Available in traction, it has a 204 hp electric motor, while the four-wheel drive version (studied in collaboration with Toyota) has a 217 hp electric motor. The battery offers a capacity of 71.5 kWh allowing a range of between 460 km (4WD) and 500 km (FWD). These characteristics are identical to those of the Toyota BZ4X.

Sales targets for the Subaru Solterra are unknown, but Inovev expects 10,000 sales per year at the start of their career and then 20,000 sales per year in the middle of their career.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 100,000 units per year of the new Toyota Aygo Cross
Toyota has unveiled the new generation of its city car Aygo (A-segment sedan) at a time when most carmakers are abandoning this type of model. This new Aygo is renamed Aygo Cross, which places it in the SUV category, below the Yaris Cross (B-segment SUV), CHR (C-segment SUV), Corolla Cross (C-segment SUV) and RAV4 ( D-segment SUV) which currently makes up the Toyota SUV range in Europe. The Aygo Cross will be sold only in Europe.

This is the first Aygo not to be dubbed Peugeot and Citroën versions, since the Stellantis group ended this year the association with Toyota in small cars, continuing this association in LCVs (Toyota ProAce and ProAce City).

The Aygo Cross is based on the NGA-B platform of the Yaris and Yaris Cross, its dimensions being 24cm smaller than the Yaris but 23cm larger than the old Aygo. The total length is now 3.70 m.

The height also gains 5 cm, SUV requires, but the engine remains the 1.0 petrol 3 cylinders offered on the old version. There will be no diesel, electric or hybrid version (like on the Yaris and Yaris Cross), officially for cost reasons.

The new Toyota Aygo Cross, which will now represent the Japanese automaker's entry level in Europe, will be assembled at the Czech Kolin site, like the previous Aygo, at a rate of 100,000 units per year according to Inovev.

Remember that part of the Toyota Yaris will be manufactured on this site from this fall, replacing the Citroën C1 and Peugeot 108, with the aim of relieving the French factory of Onnaing which manufactures both the Yaris and the Yaris. Cross.


    
 

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European production increases by 6.3% over the first 9 months of 2021
In the first 9 months of 2021, European (EU + Great Britain) production of light vehicles (PCs + LUVs) reached a volume of 10,076,343 units. It has therefore grown by only 6.3% during the first nine months of 2021 compared to the first nine months of 2020. Compared to the first nine months of 2019, European production is down by 25.7%.

This sharp decline is not due solely to the semiconductor crisis, which despite the duration remains a cyclical crisis (it should continue beyond summer 2022). There are also structural causes, relating to a drop in Europe demand. It can be argued that the various announcements restricting access to the purchase of cars create uncertainty, can influence potential customers and encourage them to keep their current vehicle longer before replacing it: bonus-malus system, restrictions on traffic in big cities, promotion of new ways of individual transport, announcements concerning the end of diesel and the more distant end of thermal, and at a same time, a relatively dissuasive price of electric vehicles.

It is possible that we will never come back to the level of registrations and production of the best years in Europe.

It is also instructive to note that the growth in European production in 2021 compared to 2020 is due almost solely to the growth in the production of electrified vehicles (hybrids, plug-in hybrids and battery electric), as these represented 1,245,000 units produced over the nine months of 2021 (525,743 BEVs, 528,532 PHEVs and 190,450 HEVs) compared to 640,153 units over the nine months of 2020 (253,733 BEVs, 262,276 PHEVs and 124,144 HEVs), while production thermal vehicles remained stable (8,831,343 units in 2021 against 8,830,144 in 2020).


    
 

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